Reservoir operation is an important and effective measure for realizing optimal allocation of water resources. It can effectively alleviate regional scarcity of water resources, flood disasters and other social problems, and plays an important role in supporting sustainable strategic development of water resources. Coordinating the stakeholders is key to the smooth operation of a multifunctional reservoir. This research examines the competition among stakeholders of a multi-objective ecological reservoir operation aiming to provide for economic, social and ecological demands. A multi-objective game theory model (MOGM) specified 10-day water discharge to meet the triple water demands (power generation, socio-economic consumption and environment) for multi-purpose reservoir operation. The optimal operation of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), with the ecological objective of providing comprehensive ecological flow demanded for some key ecological problems that may occur in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, was chosen as a case study. Discharged water calculated by the MOGM and a conventional multi-objective evolutionary algorithm/decomposition with a differential evolution operator was then allocated to different demands. The results illustrate the applicability and efficiency of the MOGM in balancing transboundary water conflicts in multi-objective reservoir operation that can provide guidance for the operation of the TGR.
This study presents an evolutionary game to model interactions among stakeholders with potential conflicts, including the operational enterprise of incineration plant, the local government, and the residents nearby. System dynamics is used to simulate the change of strategic actions corresponding to the three players, in order to seek for the evolutionary stability strategies. A numerical case is proposed to demonstrate the game theory application, in which the impacts of governmental incentive and punishment on the player’s actions are investigated. The results indicated that administrative penalty is effective not only in motivating the enterprises to upgrade treatment facilities for ensuring environmental quality but also in helping the local government and residents to approach dominant strategies. Policy implications are given based on the results to lay out a foundation for the alleviation of the conflicts.
Water resources scarcity has threatened the coordinative development of demographics, society and economy. As a typical rapidly urbanizing area and an emerging megacity in China, Chengdu is confronting the pressure of inadequate water supply. The present study divides the macroeconomic factors that affect the water resource supply and demand balance into six major subsystems: water resources supply, water demand, water drainage, population, ecological environment and economy. The combining variable interaction description and predictive simulation models are applied to simulate the water supply and demand ratio (S:D) from 2005 to 2035. Further, this study designs different development scenarios to simulate the change of S:D ratios by altering the parameter values of driving factors. The results show that: (1) the S:D ratio will decline if the current development scenario continues, implying the serious water resources shortage and the severe water supply-demand conflict in Chengdu; (2) socio-economic water demand and wastewater/rainwater reuse are the key driving parameters of S:D ratio, especially the water consumption per ten thousand yuan of industrial value-added; (3) the S:D ratio will increase from 0.92 in the current baseline scenario to 1.06 in the integrated optimization scenario in 2025, and the long-term planning brings 2035 from 0.71 to 1.03, with the proportion of unconventional water supply rise to 38% and 61%, respectively. This study can provide a decision-making tool for policy-makers to explore plausible policy scenarios necessary for bridging the gap between the water supply and demand in megacities.
This paper proposes a multicriteria decision-making (MCDM) approach, coupling intervalued trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy number (IVTIFN) with the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) to facilitate the selection of pipe materials. Their integration can maximize the advantage in better expressing decision maker’s preference on the proposed evaluation criteria by using a bounded limit instead of an exact value, to rank material alternatives based upon their functional, economic and environmental attributes. To reduce possible information overlapping resulted from the criteria, Mahalanobis distance is incorporated into IVTIFN–TOPSIS to improve the selection results. An illustrative example is provided to verify the proposed approach and demonstrate its practical application, in which four common alternative materials, including carbon steel, galvanized steel, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and high-density polyethylenes (HDPE), are subject to precise selection to determine their adaptability in waste-water piping. The selection result indicates that the plastic materials are superior to the metal materials. In particular, HDPE is the optimal material alternative for waste-water collection and transport.
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