Background:We sought to develop and externally validate a nomogram and web-based calculator to individually predict the development of serious complications in seemingly stable adult patients with solid tumours and episodes of febrile neutropenia (FN).Patients and methods:The data from the FINITE study (n=1133) and University of Salamanca Hospital (USH) FN registry (n=296) were used to develop and validate this tool. The main eligibility criterion was the presence of apparent clinical stability, defined as events without acute organ dysfunction, abnormal vital signs, or major infections. Discriminatory ability was measured as the concordance index and stratification into risk groups.Results:The rate of infection-related complications in the FINITE and USH series was 13.4% and 18.6%, respectively. The nomogram used the following covariates: Eastern Cooperative Group (ECOG) Performance Status ⩾2, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic cardiovascular disease, mucositis of grade ⩾2 (National Cancer Institute Common Toxicity Criteria), monocytes <200/mm3, and stress-induced hyperglycaemia. The nomogram predictions appeared to be well calibrated in both data sets (Hosmer–Lemeshow test, P>0.1). The concordance index was 0.855 and 0.831 in each series. Risk group stratification revealed a significant distinction in the proportion of complications. With a ⩾116-point cutoff, the nomogram yielded the following prognostic indices in the USH registry validation series: 66% sensitivity, 83% specificity, 3.88 positive likelihood ratio, 48% positive predictive value, and 91% negative predictive value.Conclusions:We have developed and externally validated a nomogram and web calculator to predict serious complications that can potentially impact decision-making in patients with seemingly stable FN.
reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. carbon dioxide 30 [27][28][29][30][31][32][33][34][35] mmHg and median temperature 37.1 [36.8-37.3]°C. After removal of artefacts, the mean monitoring time was 22 h08 (8 h54). All patients had impaired cerebral autoregulation during their monitoring time. The mean IAR index was 17 (9.5) %. During H 0 H 6 and H 18 H 24 , the majority of our patients; respectively 53 and 71 % had an IAR index > 10 %. Conclusion According to our data, patients with septic shock had impaired cerebral autoregulation within the first 24 hours of their admission in the ICU. In our patients, we described a variability of distribution of impaired autoregulation according to time.
ReferencesSchramm P, Klein KU, Falkenberg L, et al. Impaired cerebrovascular autoregulation in patients with severe sepsis and sepsis-associated delirium. Crit Care 2012; 16: R181. Aries MJH, Czosnyka M, Budohoski KP, et al. Continuous determination of optimal cerebral perfusion pressure in traumatic brain injury. Crit. Care Med. 2012.
P14 Facial continuous positive airway pressure therapy for cardiogenic pulmonary oedema: a study of its efficacy in an emergency department setting within the UK
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