The seismic sequence of November 2019 in Albania culminating with the Mw = 6.4 event of 26 November 2019 was examined from the geodetic (InSAR and GNSS), structural, and historical viewpoints, with some ideas on possible areas of greater hazard. We present accurate estimates of the coseismic displacements using permanent GNSS stations active before and after the sequence, as well as SAR interferograms with Sentinel-1 in ascending and descending mode. When compared with the displacements predicted by a dislocation model on an elastic half space using the moment tensor information of a reverse fault mechanism, the InSAR and GNSS data fit at the mm level provided the hypocentral depth is set to 8 ± 2 km. Next, we examined the elastic stress generated by the Mw = 7.2 Montenegro earthquake of 1979, with the Albania 2019 event as receiver fault, to conclude that the Coulomb stress transfer, at least for the elastic component, was too small to have influenced the 2019 Albania event. A somewhat different picture emerges from the combined elastic deformation resulting after the two (1979 and 2019) events: we investigated the fault geometries where the Coulomb stress is maximized and concluded that the geometry with highest induced Coulomb stress, of the order of ca. 2–3 bar (0.2–0.3 MPa), is that of a vertical, dextral strike slip fault, striking SW to NE. This optimal receiver fault is located between the faults activated in 1979 and 2019, and very closely resembles the Lezhe fault, which marks the transition between the Dinarides and the Albanides.
Mass movements represent a serious threat to the stability of human structures and infrastructures, and cause loss of lives and severe damages to human properties every year worldwide. Built structures located on potentially unstable slopes are susceptible to deformations due to the displacement of the ground that at worst can lead to total destruction. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data acquired by Sentinel-1 satellites and processed by multi-temporal interferometric SAR (MT-InSAR) techniques can measure centimeter to millimeter-level displacement with weekly to monthly updates, characterizing long-term large-scale behavior of the buildings and slopes. However, the spatial resolution and short wavelength weaken the performance of Sentinel-1 in recognizing features (i.e., single buildings) inside image pixels and maintaining the coherence in mountainous vegetated areas. We have proposed and applied a methodology that combines Sentinel-1 interferometry with ground-based geomatics techniques, i.e., global navigation satellite system (GNSS), terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) and terrestrial structure from motion photogrammetry (SfM), for fully assessing building deformations on a slope located in the north-eastern Italian pre-Alps. GNSS allows verifying the ground deformation estimated by MT-InSAR and provides a reference system for the TLS and SfM measurements, while TLS and SfM allow the behavior of buildings located in the investigated slope to be monitored in great detail. The obtained results show that damaged buildings are located in the most unstable sectors of the slope, but there is no direct relationship between the rate of ground deformation of these sectors and the temporal evolution of damages to a single building, indicating that mass movements cause the displacement of blocks of buildings and each of them reacts differently according to its structural properties. This work shows the capability of MT-InSAR, GNSS, TLS and SfM in monitoring both buildings and geological processes that affect their stability, which plays a key role in geohazard analysis and assessment.
Time series interferometric synthetic aperture radar (TS-InSAR) has been a powerful tool for monitoring land surface deformation in the last two decades. Atmospheric effects cause large-scale delays in InSAR observations, which is one of the difficulties facing deformation calculations from differential InSAR (D-InSAR) and time-series InSAR. Currently, atmospheric delay is derived mainly from auxiliary data from sources such as the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) and moderateresolution imaging spectroradiometry (MODIS), but GNSS data are limited by the sparse distribution of observation stations. MODIS data also may not temporally match SAR image acquisition, which leads to low accuracy in atmospheric phase correction. This paper presents a decomposition method to remove atmospheric delay. We consider the atmospheric phase to be caused by the combined changes in spatial position and elevation. Therefore, quadtree segmentation is applied to divide the topographic units, and we improve the drift function of universal kriging by adding an elevation component. We then interpolate the whole atmospheric phase space from reliable sampling points estimated by the coherence coefficient. Using Sentinel-1 data, we test the proposed method in discriminating and monitoring a mining subsidence area in Shanxi Province and compare the results with the results from interferometric point target analysis (IPTA) and the network-based variance-covariance estimation (NVCE) method. The results demonstrate that the proposed method is superior to existing methods for the detection of deformation inverted from time-series InSAR.
Land subsidence affects many areas of the world, posing a serious threat to human structures and infrastructures. It can be effectively monitored using ground-based and remote sensing techniques, such as the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). GNSS provides high precision measurements, but in a limited number of points, and is time-consuming, while InSAR allows one to obtain a very large number of measurement points, but only in areas characterized by a high and constant reflectivity of the signal. The aim of this work is to propose an approach to combine the two techniques, overcoming the limits of each of them. The approach was applied in the Po River Delta (PRD), an area located in Northern Italy and historically affected by land subsidence. Ground-based GNSS data from three continuous stations (CGNSS) and 46 non-permanent sites (NPS) measured in 2016, 2018, and 2020, and Sentinel-1 and COSMO-SkyMed SAR data acquired from 2016 to 2020, were considered. In the first phase of the method, InSAR processing was calibrated and verified through CGNSS measurements; subsequently, the calibrated interferometric data were used to validate the GNSS measurements of the NPS. In the second phase, the datasets were integrated to provide an efficient monitoring system, extracting high-resolution deformation maps. The results showed a good agreement between the different sources of data, a high correlation between the displacement rate and the age of the emerged surfaces composed of unconsolidated fine sediments, and high land subsidence rates along the coastal area (up to 16–18 mm/year), where the most recent deposits outcrop. The proposed approach makes it possible to overcome the disadvantages of each technique by providing more complete and detailed information for a better understanding of the ongoing phenomenon.
Climate change and human activities are having increasing impacts on the global water cycle, particularly on streamflow. Current methods for quantifying these impacts are numerous and have their merits and limitations. There is a lack of a guide to help researchers select one or more appropriate methods for attribution analysis. In this study, hydrological modeling, statistical analysis, and conceptual approaches were used jointly to develop a methodological options framework consisting of three modules, to guide researchers in selecting appropriate methods and assessing climatic and anthropogenic contributions to streamflow changes. To evaluate its effectiveness, a case study in the Upper Yangtze River Basin (UYRB) of China was conducted. The results suggest that the SWAT-based method is the best approach to quantify the influences of climate change and human activities on streamflow in the UYRB. The comprehensive assessment indicates that climate change is the dominant cause of streamflow changes in the UYRB, and the contribution of climate change, indirect human activities, and direct human activities to streamflow changes is about 7:1:2. The proposed framework is efficient and valuable in assisting researchers to find appropriate methods for attribution analysis of streamflow changes, which can help to understand the water cycle in changing environments.
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