Objective: The objective of this paper is to predict the possible trajectory of coronavirus spread in the US. Prediction and severity ratings of COVID-19 are essential for pandemic control and economic reopening in the US. Method: In this paper, we apply the Logistic and Gompertz model to evaluate possible turning points of COVID-19 pandemic in different regions of the US. By combining uncertainty and severity factors, this paper constructed an indicator to assess the severity of the coronavirus outbreak in various states of the US. Results: Based on the index of severity ratings, different regions of the US are classified into four categories. The result shows that it is possible to identify the first turning point in Montana and Hawaii. It is unclear when the rest of the states in the US will reach the first peak. However, it can be inferred that 75% of regions in the US won’t reach the first peak of coronavirus before August 2, 2020. Conclusion: It is still essential for the majority of states in the US to take proactive steps to fight against COVID-19 before August 2, 2020.
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