Semiarid ecosystems such as grasslands are characterized by high temporal variability in abiotic factors, which has led to suggestions that management actions may be more effective in some years than others. Here we examine this hypothesis in the context of grassland restoration, which faces two major obstacles: the contingency of native grass establishment on unpredictable precipitation, and competition from introduced species. We established replicated restoration experiments over three years at two sites in the northern Great Plains in order to examine the extent to which the success of several restoration strategies varied between sites and among years. We worked in 50‐yr‐old stands of crested wheatgrass (Agropyron cristatum), an introduced perennial grass that has been planted on >10 × 106 ha in western North America. Establishment of native grasses was highly contingent on local conditions, varying fourfold among years and threefold between sites. Survivorship also varied greatly and increased significantly with summer precipitation. No consistent differences were found between drilling and broadcasting in their effects on establishment, but survivorship was nearly threefold higher in broadcast plots. Plots without seed added, or with native hay added, had almost no seedlings of native grasses. In contrast, broadcasting the residue remaining after cleaning seeds from native hay produced the highest seedling densities of any treatment. Competition from A. cristatum was significantly and consistently reduced through annual application of a generalist herbicide (glyphosate), which increased native grass establishment and survivorship and the richness and total cover of native species. Herbicide decreased standing crop and increased soil moisture and available nitrogen. A. cristatum was controlled without suppressing native vegetation, both by spraying in early spring, which selectively killed the cool‐season A. cristatum, and by application with a wick, which selectively killed the taller A. cristatum. A. cristatum persisted over four years, however, in spite of annual herbicide application. A. cristatum cover in control plots increased significantly with summer precipitation. In summary, broadcasting and drilling differed little in their effects on establishment, but broadcasting increased survivorship and will allow the emergence of plant‐induced heterogeneity. Competition from introduced species can be reduced but not eliminated by continuing herbicide application. Lastly, the positive relationships between precipitation and both A. cristatum and native seedling survivorship suggest that management should focus on controlling A. cristatum during dry years and on introducing native species during wet years. Corresponding Editor: I. C. Burke.

Abstract. The Tibetan Plateau (TP), known as Asia's water tower, is quite sensitive to climate change, which is reflected by changes in hydrologic state variables such as lake water storage. Given the extremely limited ground observations on the TP due to the harsh environment and complex terrain, we exploited multiple altimetric missions and Landsat satellite data to create high-temporal-resolution lake water level and storage change time series at weekly to monthly timescales for 52 large lakes (50 lakes larger than 150 km2 and 2 lakes larger than 100 km2) on the TP during 2000–2017. The data sets are available online at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.898411 (Li et al., 2019). With Landsat archives and altimetry data, we developed water levels from lake shoreline positions (i.e., Landsat-derived water levels) that cover the study period and serve as an ideal reference for merging multisource lake water levels with systematic biases being removed. To validate the Landsat-derived water levels, field experiments were carried out in two typical lakes, and theoretical uncertainty analysis was performed based on high-resolution optical images (0.8 m) as well. The RMSE of the Landsat-derived water levels is 0.11 m compared with the in situ measurements, consistent with the magnitude from theoretical analysis (0.1–0.2 m). The accuracy of the Landsat-derived water levels that can be derived in relatively small lakes is comparable with most altimetry data. The resulting merged Landsat-derived and altimetric lake water levels can provide accurate information on multiyear and short-term monitoring of lake water levels and storage changes on the TP, and critical information on lake overflow flood monitoring and prediction as the expansion of some TP lakes becomes a serious threat to surrounding residents and infrastructure.

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Trees and shrubs establishing in grasslands frequently occur in clumps associated with increased soil moisture and N availability. We tested whether the presence of conspecifics or enhanced soil resources increased the growth and survivorship of a shrub (Symphoricarpos occidentalis) and a tree (Picea glauca) in the presence of the perennial grass (Bromus inermis). Rhizomes of Symphoricarpos and seedlings of Picea were transplanted into plots either singly or with four conspecific neighbors, and with grass neighbors present or removed. Half the plots received additional water, N, and shade to simulate a forest environment. Roots and shoots of transplants were harvested after two growing seasons. Soil moisture and available N were lowest at high transplant density, and highest in the simulated‐forest environment and in treatments where grass was removed. Transplant survivorship was generally enhanced in plots where grasses were removed and in the simulated‐forest environment. Picea survivorship was reduced by grasses in plots without resource manipulations but was unaffected by grasses in the simulated‐forest environment, suggesting that the simulated‐forest environment enhanced the ability of Picea to compete with grasses. Picea growth, however, was reduced by conspecific neighbors in all cases. For Symphoricarpos conspecific neighbors significantly decreased growth rates with grasses absent but significantly increased growth rates with grasses present. Thus the direct effect of high density in monoculture was to reduce Symphoricarpos growth, but the indirect effect of high density in the presence of grass was to facilitate Symphoricarpos growth. In summary, conspecific neighbors increased the growth rate of Symphoricarpos in competition with grass, and a simulated‐forest environment enhanced the ability of Picea to survive in the presence of grasses. The results support the idea that contagious distributions of woody species invading grasslands enhance woody plant establishment.

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JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.. Ecological Society of America is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Ecology.Abstract. Trees and shrubs establishing in grasslands frequently occur in clumps associated with increased soil moisture and N availability. We tested whether the presence of conspecifics or enhanced soil resources increased the growth and survivorship of a shrub (Symphoricarpos occidentalis) and a tree (Picea glauca) in the presence of the perennial grass (Bromus inermis). Rhizomes of Symphoricarpos and seedlings of Picea were transplanted into plots either singly or with four nonspecific neighbors, and with grass neighbors present or removed. Half the plots received additional water, N, and shade to simulate a forest environment. Roots and shoots of transplants were harvested after two growing seasons. Soil moisture and available N were lowest at high transplant density, and highest in the simulated-forest environment and in treatments where grass was removed. Transplant survivorship was generally enhanced in plots where grasses were removed and in the simulated-forest environment. Picea survivorship was reduced by grasses in plots without resource manipulations but was unaffected by grasses in the simulated-forest environment, suggesting that the simulated-forest environment enhanced the ability of Picea to compete with grasses. Picea growth, however, was reduced by nonspecific neighbors in all cases. For Symphoricarpos, nonspecific neighbors significantly decreased growth rates with grasses absent but significantly increased growth rates with grasses present. Thus the direct effect of high density in monoculture was to reduce Symphoricarpos growth, but the indirect effect of high density in the presence of grass was to facilitate Symphoricarpos growth. In summary, nonspecific neighbors increased the growth rate of Symphoricarpos in competition with grass, and a simulated-forest environment enhanced the ability of Picea to survive in the presence of grasses. The results support the idea that contagious distributions of woody species invading grasslands enhance woody plant establishment. Ecology, Vol. 79, No. 8 the possibility that invasions will be irreversible while feedbacks continue. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank R. Callaway, M. Huston, M. Kdchy, R. Mitchell, D. Peltzer, and an anonymous reviewer for improving earlier drafts of this paper, L. Ambrose for technical help, R. Douslin of Saskatchewan Environment and Resource Management for allowing Symphoricarpos collection, J. Thompson of the same organization for supplying Picea, the University of Regina for support, and NSERC for a postdoctoral fellowship to X. Li and a research grant to S. Wilson.