Microscopic vehicle emissions models have been well developed in the past decades. Those models require secondby-second vehicle trajectory data as a key input to perform vehicle energy/emissions estimation. Due to the omnipresence of mobile sensors such as floating cars, real-world vehicle trajectory data can be collected in a large scale. However, most largescaled mobile sensor data in practice are sparse in terms of sampling rate due to the consideration in implementation cost. In this paper, a new modal activity framework for vehicle energy/emissions estimation using sparse mobile sensor data is presented. The valid vehicle dynamic states are identified including four driving modes, named acceleration, deceleration, cruising, and idling. The best valid vehicle dynamic state with the largest probabilities is selected to reconstruct the second-bysecond vehicle trajectory between consecutive sampling times. Then vehicle energy/emissions factors are estimated based on operating mode distributions. The proposed model is calibrated and validated using the Next Generation Simulation's dataset, and shows better performance in vehicle energy/emissions estimation compared with the linear interpolation model. Sensitivity analysis is performed to show the model accuracy with different time intervals. This paper provides a new methodology for vehicle energy/emissions estimation and extends the application area of sparse mobile sensor data.
Index Terms-Modal activity, vehicle trajectory reconstruction, vehicle energy/emissions estimation, maximum likelihood estimation.Manuscript Riverside. His research interests include connected vehicles, eco-approach and departure, sensor-aided modeling, signal control, and traffic operations. He is a member of the IEEE Intelligent Transportation System Society, the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, and Chinese Overseas Transportation Association.Xiaohong Chen received the D.Eng. degree from the School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Tongji University, in 2003. She has published over 20 papers in peer-reviewed journals. She has made a long-term commitment to the basic and frontier research work of regional comprehensive transportation system planning, road network planning, public transit system planning, and pedestrian and bicycle transport systems. Her research includes transportation planning systems and methodology for metropolitan and rapid urbanization areas, transportation environment, basic theory and planning methods for pedestrian and bicycle traffic flow, and new energy transportation system planning.