Background: Soluble ST2 (sST2) is a novel inflammation marker for the prediction of adverse outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease and diabetes mellitus. The aim of the present study was to examine the predictive value of serum sST2 for prognostic outcomes in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA)/ischemic stroke.Methods: Patients within 24 h after symptom onset were prospectively enrolled based on the TIA/ischemic stroke database of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University. The 1-year prognostic outcomes were composite adverse events (including ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause death) and a combination of major disability and death [modified Rankin Scale (mRS), 3-6]. Cox proportional hazard and logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association between serum sST2 and TIA/ischemic stroke prognosis. The C statistic, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination index (IDI) were used to present improvement in risk classification.Results: Serum sST2 levels were positively correlated with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores. Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated a significantly different risk in composite adverse events between patients with higher and those with lower levels of sST2 ( P =0.006). Serum sST2 was an independent predictor for composite adverse events (HR: 2.517, 95% CI: 1.279-4.956, P =0.008) and major disability or death (OR: 3.126, 95% CI: 1.452-6.728, P =0.004) after multivariate adjustment. The addition of the sST2 to the NIHSS score significantly improved the predictive value for prognostic outcomes in patients with TIA/ischemic stroke (C statistic: 0.021, IDI: 1.91%, P =0.042 for composite adverse events; NRI: 32.82%, P =0.042 for major disability or death).Conclusions: Serum sST2 levels were positively associated with the severity of TIA/ischemic stroke and could independently predict composite adverse events and major disability or death, indicating that sST2 may be a potential prognostic marker for TIA/ischemic stroke.
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