We consider the problem of pricing multiple differentiated products with the Nested Logit model and, as a special case, the Multinomial Logit model. We prove that concavity of the total profit function with respect to market share holds even when price sensitivity may vary with products. We use this result to analytically compare the optimal monopoly solution to oligopolistic equilibrium solutions. To demonstrate further applications of the concavity result, we consider several multi-period dynamic models that incorporate the pricing of multiple products in the context of inventory control and revenue management, and establish structural results of the optimal policies.
We study stochastic inventory planning with lost sales and instantaneous replenishment, where contrary to the classical inventory theory, the knowledge of the demand distribution is not available. Furthermore, we observe only the sales quantity in each period, and lost sales are unobservable, that is, demand data are censored. The manager must make an ordering decision in each period based only on historical sales data. Excess inventory is either perishable or carried over to the next period. In this setting, we propose non-parametric adaptive policies that generate ordering decisions over time. We show that the T -period average expected cost of our policy differs from the benchmark newsvendor cost -the minimum expected cost that would have incurred if the manager had known the underlying demand distribution -by at most O(1/ √ T ). IntroductionThe problem of inventory control and planning has received much interest from practitioners and academics from the early years of operations research. The early literature in this area modeled demand as deterministic and having known quantities, but it soon became apparent that deterministic modeling was often inadequate, and uncertainty needed to be incorporated in modeling future demand. As a result, a majority of the papers on inventory theory during the past fifty years employ stochastic demand models. In these models, future demand is given by a specific exogenous random variable, and the inventory decisions are made with full knowledge of the future demand distribution. In many applications, however, the demand distribution is not known a priori. Even when past data have been collected, the selection of the most appropriate distribution and its parameters remains ambiguous. In the case when excess demand is lost, the information available to the inventory manager is further limited since she does not observe the realized demand but only observes the sales quantity (often referred to as censored demand), which is the smaller of the stocking level and the realized demand. Motivated by these realistic constraints, we develop a non-parametric approach to stochastic inventory planning in the presence of lost sales and censored demand.
Using the well-known product-limit form of the Kaplan-Meier estimator from statistics, we propose a new class of nonparametric adaptive data-driven policies for stochastic inventory control problems. We focus on the distribution-free newsvendor model with censored demands. The assumption is that the demand distribution is not known and there are only sales data available. We study the theoretical performance of the new policies and show that for discrete demand distributions they converge almost surely to the set of optimal solutions. Computational experiments suggest that the new policies converge for general demand distributions, not necessarily discrete, and demonstrate that they are significantly more robust than previously known policies. As a by-product of the theoretical analysis, we obtain new results on the asymptotic consistency of the Kaplan-Meier estimator for discrete random variables that extend existing work in statistics. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first application of the Kaplan-Meier estimator within an adaptive optimization algorithm, in particular, the first application to stochastic inventory control models. We believe that this work will lead to additional applications in other domains.
We study a single-product single-location inventory system under periodic review, where excess demand is lost and the replenishment lead time is positive. The performance measure of interest is the long run average holding cost and lost sales penalty. For a large class of demand distributions, we show that when the lost sales penalty becomes large compared to the holding cost, the relative difference between the cost of the optimal policy and the best order-up-to policy converges to zero. For any given cost parameters, we establish a bound on this relative difference. Numerical experiments show that the best order-up-to policy performs well, yielding an average cost that is within 1.5% of the optimal cost even when the ratio between the lost sales penalty and the holding cost is just 100.
W e show the existence of Nash equilibria in a Bertrand oligopoly price competition game using a possibly asymmetric attraction demand model with convex costs under mild assumptions. We show that the equilibrium is unique and globally stable. To our knowledge, this is the first paper to show the existence of a unique equilibrium with both nonlinear demand and nonlinear costs. In addition, we guarantee the linear convergence rate of tatônnement. We illustrate the applicability of this approach with several examples arising from operational considerations that are often ignored in the economics literature.
We study a stationary, single-stage inventory system, under periodic review, with fixed ordering costs and multiple sales levers (such as pricing, advertising, etc.). We show the optimality of s S-type policies in these settings under both the backordering and lost-sales assumptions. Our analysis is constructive and is based on a condition that we identify as being key to proving the s S structure. This condition is entirely based on the single-period profit function and the demand model. Our optimality results complement the existing results in this area.
M otivated by service capacity-management problems in healthcare contexts, we consider a multiresource allocation problem with two classes of jobs (elective and emergency) in a dynamic and nonstationary environment. Emergency jobs need to be served immediately, whereas elective jobs can wait. Distributional information about demand and resource availability is continually updated, and we allow jobs to renege. We prove that our formulation is convex, and the optimal amount of capacity reserved for emergency jobs in each period decreases with the number of elective jobs waiting for service. However, the optimal policy is difficult to compute exactly. We develop the idea of a limit policy starting at a particular time, and use this policy to obtain upper and lower bounds on the decisions of an optimal policy in each period, and also to develop several computationally efficient policies. We show in computational experiments that our best policy performs within 1 8% of an optimal policy on average.
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