SUMMARYWe conducted a community-based cluster sample survey of rubella sero-epidemiology in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia in 1994. Among 4666 individuals for whom complete data were available, rubella antibody prevalence was 91 % (95 % confidence interval : 90, 92). On multivariable analysis, seroprevalence was lower among individuals who were resident in Addis Ababa for 1 year or less. Approx. 50 % seroprevalence was attained by age 4 years, and the estimated average age at infection was 5n2 years. The highest age-specific force of infection was estimated to occur in 5-to 9-year-olds. The early age at infection corresponded with a low estimated incidence of congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) of 0n3 per 1000 live births, equivalent to nine cases of CRS in 1994. The predicted critical level of immunity for elimination of rubella via vaccination was 85-91 %, requiring 89-96 % coverage with a vaccine of 95 % effectiveness. Unless very high coverage of rubella vaccine could be guaranteed, the introduction of childhood vaccination could increase the incidence of CRS in Addis Ababa.

A measles outbreak in December 1998 in Bedelle (vaccine coverage <40%) and two sporadic cases in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, were investigated. Paired serum and oral fluid samples were collected 2-8 days after the onset of symptoms. A total of 53 of 55 outbreak cases and both sporadic cases were positive for serum measles virus-specific IgM. Oral fluid measles-specific IgM was positive in 71% of cases collected up to 5 days after onset and in 90% collected at 6-8 days. By contrast, 100% of oral fluid samples were positive for measles virus RNA by RT-PCR, suggesting that early collection of samples favoured the detection of measles virus RNA by RT-PCR. The measles virus strain in the outbreak was identified as genotype D4. One strain from a sporadic case was also genotype D4; the strain from the other sporadic case was assigned to clade D but was distinct. The degree of divergence from recognised clade D strains suggested that, together with three strains from the United Kingdom, it represents an additional genotype of clade D (GenBank accession numbers AF280800-280807).

SUMMARYA method for the analysis of age-stratified antibody prevalence surveys is applied to a previously reported survey of antibody to rubella virus using oral fluid samples in which the sensitivity of the assay used was shown to be compromised. The age-specific distribution of the quantitative results of antibody tests using oral fluids is modelled as a mixture of strong positive, weak positive and negative components. This yields maximum likelihood estimates of the prevalence at each age and demonstrates that, when used in conjunction with mixture modelling techniques, the results of antibody prevalence studies using oral fluids accurately reflect those obtained using sera.

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We compared 3 different oral-fluid collection devices to assess their suitability for use in community studies of rubella antibody. Of 58 individuals enrolled from 13 households from a southern Ethiopian village, 38 provided a blood sample and oral fluids by the 3 devices: 2 proprietary, Omni-SAL and OraSure, and a third a polystyrene sponge swab (Sponge). The Sponge swab, used like a toothbrush, was most acceptable to survey staff and to participants of all ages, although it proved ill-adapted for fluid extraction. The other devices more often caused participant discomfort or anxiety, particularly in the young. Statistical comparison of rubella-specific immunoglobulin (Ig) G in oral fluid, measured by antibody-capture radioimmunoassay, and in serum, by indirect enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, showed no clear differences between the devices in oral-fluid performance. Specificity range was 75-100% and sensitivity 73-85%, relative to serum. Specific-antibody levels declined with increasing age, with concomitant decreases in sensitivity, as previously documented. The relationship between specific IgG and total IgG in oral fluid differed by device. Specific IgG levels were highly correlated between paired samples using the Sponge device. We consider the Sponge device to be the most suitable for community survey work, although the extraction method requires improvement. Further work is needed to improve the sensitivity of antibody status determination in adults.

SummaryOBJECTIVE To assess the utility of oral fluid compared with serum for the determination of age-prevalence of rubella-specific antibodies in an urban African community setting. METHOD Paired serum and oral fluid samples were collected from 439 individuals aged 0-49 years in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, as part of a larger seroepidemiological survey in 1994. Oral fluid was sampled using a simple sponge device that was well accepted by subjects of all ages; venous blood was collected by Vacutainer system. We measured rubella-specific antibodies in serum by the Radial Haemolysis (RH) test, supported by two confirmatory assays, and in oral fluid by IgG antibody-capture radioimmunoassay (GACRIA). RESULTS Sensitivity and specificity of oral fluid results compared to serum were 89% and 76%, respectively. Sensitivity declined from 96% in age group 0-19 years to 90% in age group 20-29 and 78% in age group 30-49. Specificity was 86% in 0-9 year olds contrasting with 61% in older groups (10-49 years). The positive predictive value of an oral fluid sample was high in all age groups (range 92-100%), while the negative predictive value declined from Ն80% in those aged Ͻ10 years to Ͻ10% in those aged Ն30 years. Serum confirmatory tests suggested a proportion of false serum RH negatives, increasing with age, indicating a need to standardize serum as well as oral fluid tests. CONCLUSION In the community setting of a developing country, oral fluid surveys could be useful to estimate age-prevalence of rubella immunity and identify rubella-susceptible children for follow-up. Further work is required to simplify assays and sample processing, improve assay sensitivity and estimate assay specificity more precisely, and compare and standardise collection methods suitable for surveillance of a variety of childhood viral infections.keywords oral fluid, rubella-specific antibodies, age-prevalence, Ethiopia correspondence Dr DJ Nokes,

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