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In a German multicenter treatment study, 354 patients with schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorder were followed for 2 years. The data collected were taken as a basis for the present predictor study. For the first time, the technique of classification and regression tree (CART) analysis has been employed for this purpose. CART yielded informative data and appeared to be a useful instrument in predictor research. On the outcome variables "relapse" and "rehospitalization," significant predictor variables were found in several areas: neuroleptic treatment, onset and previous course (precipitating factors, first manifestation, hospitalization in the preceding year, suicide attempts), psychopathology (residual type, schizoaffective disorder), social adjustment (marital status, employment, intensity of life, Phillips score), previous life experiences (traumatic experiences and psychiatric or developmental disturbances in childhood), and biology (gender, age). Our investigation confirmed the generally prevalent views regarding the value of neuroleptic treatment, the multifactorial etiology, and the vulnerability stress model of schizophrenia.

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Sixty-one patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET) were followed from 1974 through 1987 at the Medizinische Poliklinik. Fifty-one patients (84%) presented with thromboembolic complications, and eight patients (13%) with hemorrhages. In seven patients (12%), a thrombocytosis was detected accidentally. Disturbances of the microcirculation (67%), mainly of the fingers and toes (53%), were the most frequent thromboembolic symptoms. The mean age of all patients was 58 years (male patients, 61 years; female patients, 56 years). The average platelet count at diagnosis was 897,000/microliter. The average maximal platelet count was 1.231 X 10(6)/microliter (range, 500,000/microliter to 4 X 10(6)/microliter). Seventy-two percent had a moderate leukocytosis (average, 12,400/microliter), 34% a splenomegaly, 29% a hepatomegaly. Signs of hypermetabolism were infrequent, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and uric acid elevations, if present, were moderate. Bleeding time and viscosity were normal in most patients. Spontaneous platelet aggregation was increased in 81% of patients (n = 40). Platelet aggregation studies with the aggregation inducing substances adenosine diphosphonate (ADP), platelet activating factor (PAF), thrombin, collagen, and adrenalin showed hypoaggregation in most patients. Adrenalin-induced aggregation distinguished best between ET-patients and reactive thrombocytosis showing hypoaggregation in all ET-patients tested (n = 16) and in none of 22 controls. Bone marrow studies were performed in 57 patients. The histologic studies (done in 49 patients) were consistent with a chronic myeloproliferative disorder in all cases. In 41 cases (84%) the picture of a megakaryocytic myelosis was found, in 12 of these a granulocyte-rich form of megakaryocytic myelosis. Cytologic studies only (eight patients) did not differentiate ET well from reactive thrombocytosis. Platelet aggregation studies and bone marrow histology may be of help in the diagnosis of difficult cases of thrombocytosis. The Philadelphia status was negative in all cases studied (14 patients). Fourteen patients died. The causes of death were thromboembolic complications in probably 11 and acute leukemia in two patients. The probability of 10-year survival is 64% after a mean follow-up time of approximately 5 years. It appears that considering the average age of ET patients at diagnosis, life expectancy is close to normal.

Background Lupus erythematosus tumidus (LET) is a rare disease which was first described in 1909 but has not always been considered as a separate entity of cutaneous lupus erythematosus (CLE) in the international literature. Objectives To compare characteristic features of different subtypes of CLE and to analyse whether LET can be distinguished as a separate entity in the classification system of the disease. Methods The study involved 44 patients with CLE, including 24 patients with LET, 12 with discoid lupus erythematosus (DLE) and eight with subacute CLE (SCLE), from two centres in Germany. A core set questionnaire and an SPSS database were designed to enable a consistent statistical analysis. Results Location of skin lesions did not differ significantly between the CLE subtypes; however, the activity score was significantly lower in LET than in DLE (P < 0.01), and the damage score was significantly lower in LET than in SCLE (P < 0.01) and DLE (P < 0.01). Photosensitivity and antinuclear antibodies were confirmed to be different in LET compared with SCLE and DLE but without statistical significance. Moreover, histological analysis of skin biopsy specimens showed that abundant mucin deposition is significantly more present in LET compared with SCLE (P < 0.01) and DLE (P < 0.01) while prominent interface dermatitis and alteration of hair follicles were absent in LET. Conclusions Several significant differences were found between LET and other subtypes of CLE with regard to clinical, histological and laboratory parameters. These data strongly indicate that LET should be defined as a separate entity in the classification of CLE.