Policy questions are often framed in popular discussion as situations where pulling the right levers will get the economy and society back on track after shocks and crises. This approach ignores how systems interact and how their systemic properties shape socioeconomic outcomes, leading to an over-emphasis on a limited set of characteristics, notably efficiency. We argue that this emphasis on efficiency in the operation, management and outcomes of various economic and social systems is not a conscious collective choice, but rather the response of the whole system to the incentives that individual components face. This has brought much of the world to rely upon complex, nested, and interconnected systems to deliver goods and services around the globe. While this approach has many benefits, the Covid-19 crisis shows how it has also reduced the resilience of key systems to shocks, and allowed failures to cascade from one system to others. This paper reviews the impact of COVID-19 on socioeconomic systems, discusses the notion of resilience, and provides specific recommendations on both integrating resilience analytics for recovery from the current crisis as well as on building resilient infrastructure to address future systemic challenges. Keywords Covid-19 • Coronavirus • OECD • Resilience • Economic impact • Risk"Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist, everything we do after a pandemic will seem inadequate".
Regulatory agencies have long adopted a three-tier framework for risk assessment. We build on this structure to propose a tiered approach for resilience assessment that can be integrated into the existing regulatory processes. Comprehensive approaches to assessing resilience at appropriate and operational scales, reconciling analytical complexity as needed with stakeholder needs and resources available, and ultimately creating actionable recommendations to enhance resilience are still lacking. Our proposed framework consists of tiers by which analysts can select resilience assessment and decision support tools to inform associated management actions relative to the scope and urgency of the risk and the capacity of resource managers to improve system resilience. The resilience management framework proposed is not intended to supplant either risk management or the many existing efforts of resilience quantification method development, but instead provide a guide to selecting tools that are appropriate for the given analytic need. The goal of this tiered approach is to intentionally parallel the tiered approach used in regulatory contexts so that resilience assessment might be more easily and quickly integrated into existing structures and with existing policies.
a future analytics consulting; b university college cork ABSTRACT "Social media is now the most efficient method of delivering emergency response messages in a contemporary urban crisis scenario. In the immediate aftermath of an event, valuable spatiallyrelated information can often be difficult to pinpoint in the melee of unhelpful or speculative social media 'noise' . This paper explores the increasing need to be first, right and credible in the midst of unverified, speculative reports. Social media has changed the meaning of public participation and crisis response teams must now utilise the most popular media platforms to gain a foothold within the confusion of an unfolding catastrophic event Original research carried out by University College, Cork as part of the EU-funded S-HELP (Securing Health, Emergency, Learning, Planning) FP7 project has identified that in the 18 to 21-year-old age group, 33% would rely on social media as their initial source of information during a large-scale crisis event. A further 33% identified digital media news outlets as their first source of information. Both of these mediums rely heavily on reports and descriptions from first responders. This paper will look at the ongoing work of the S-HELP Project which is developing a suite of tools to aid decision-making in large-scale disasters, and specifically the development of the Crisis Communication Tool (CCT) and its potential to give an emergency response team immediate control of an unfolding event. Through the use of these communication methods, emergency responders can rapidly understand the scope of a crisis situation and deliver appropriate messages to stakeholders which can be adapted according to developments in the situation.
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