The world's tropical reef ecosystems, and the people who depend on them, are increasingly 60 impacted by climate change [1][2][3][4][5][6][7] Reef, as well as the potential influence of water quality and fishing pressure on the severity of 71 bleaching. 72The geographic footprints of mass bleaching of corals on the Great Barrier Reef have varied 73 strikingly during three major events in 1998 , 2002 and 2016). In 1998, bleaching was 74 primarily coastal and most severe in the central and southern regions. In 2002, bleaching was 75 more widespread, and affected offshore reefs in the central region that had escaped in 1998 8 . 76In 2016, bleaching was even more extensive and much more severe, especially in the 77 northern, and to a lesser extent the central regions, where many coastal, mid-shelf and 78 offshore reefs were affected (Fig. 1a, b). In 2016, the proportion of reefs experiencing 79 extreme bleaching (>60% of corals bleached) was over four times higher compared to 1998 80 or 2002 (Fig. 1f) The severity and distinctive geographic footprints of bleaching in each of the three 88 years can be explained by differences in the magnitude and spatial distribution of sea-surface 89 temperature anomalies (Fig. 1a, b 102The geographic pattern of bleaching also demonstrates how marine heatwaves can be (Fig. 2a) (Fig. 1g). largely escaped bleaching in the two earlier events (Fig. 1a). Thirty-five percent of the reefs (Fig. 1b, e). We conclude that the overlap of disparate geographic bleaching at the scale of both individual reefs and the entire Great Barrier Reef (Fig. 1a, b). 134We found a similar strong relationship between the amount of bleaching measured 135 underwater, and the satellite-based estimates of heat exposure on individual reefs (Fig. 3). 136Low levels of bleaching was observed at some locations when DHW values were only 2-3 137 o C-weeks. Typically, 30-40% of corals bleached on reefs exposed to 4 o C-weeks, whereas an 138 average of 70-90% of corals bleached on reefs that experience 8 o C-weeks or more (Fig. 3). 139Resistance and adaptation to bleaching 140 Once we account for the amount of heat stress experienced on each reef, adding 141 chlorophyll-a, a proxy for water quality, to our statistical model yielded no support for the 142 hypothesis that good water quality confers resistance to bleaching 13 . Rather, the estimated 143 effect of chlorophyll-a was to significantly reduce the DHW threshold for bleaching 144 (Extended Data Table 1). However, despite the statistical significance, the effect in real terms 145 beyond heat stress alone is very small (Extended Data Fig. 1). Similarly, we found no effect 146 of the level of protection (in fished or protected zones) on bleaching (P > 0.1: Extended Data 147 Table 1). These results are consistent with the broad-scale pattern of severe bleaching in the 148 northern Great Barrier Reef, which affected hundreds of reefs across inshore-offshore 149 gradients in water quality, and regardless of their zoning (protection) status (Fig. 1a, b). 150Simila...

Climate-driven changes in biotic interactions can profoundly alter ecological communities, particularly when they impact foundation species. In marine systems, changes in herbivory and the consequent loss of dominant habitat forming species can result in dramatic community phase shifts, such as from coral to macroalgal dominance when tropical fish herbivory decreases, and from algal forests to 'barrens' when temperate urchin grazing increases. Here, we propose a novel phase-shift away from macroalgal dominance caused by tropical herbivores extending their range into temperate regions. We argue that this phase shift is facilitated by poleward-flowing boundary currents that are creating ocean warming hotspots around the globe, enabling the range expansion of tropical species and increasing their grazing rates in temperate areas. Overgrazing of temperate macroalgae by tropical herbivorous fishes has already occurred in Japan and the Mediterranean. Emerging evidence suggests similar phenomena are occurring in other temperate regions, with increasing occurrence of tropical fishes on temperate reefs.

We evaluated the commercial and recreational fishery landings over the past 22 years, first at the national level, then for populations of concern (those that are overfished or experiencing overfishing), and finally by region. Recreational landings in 2002 account for 4% of total marine fish landed in the United States. With large industrial fisheries excluded (e.g., menhaden and pollock), the recreational component rises to 10%. Among populations of concern, recreational landings in 2002 account for 23% of the total nationwide, rising to 38% in the South Atlantic and 64% in the Gulf of Mexico. Moreover, it affects many of the most-valued overfished species-including red drum, bocaccio, and red snapper-all of which are taken primarily in the recreational fishery.

Globally, the number of recreational fishers is sizeable and increasing in many countries. Associated with this trend is the potential for negative impacts on fish stocks through exploitation or management measures such as stocking and introduction of non-native fishes. Nevertheless, recreational fishers can be instrumental in successful fisheries conservation through active involvement in, or initiation of, conservation projects to reduce both direct and external stressors contributing to fishery declines. Understanding fishers' concerns for sustained access to the resource and developing methods for their meaningful participation can have positive impacts on conservation efforts. We examined a suite of case studies that demonstrate successful involvement of recreational fishers in conservation and management activities that span developed and developing countries, temperate and tropical regions, marine and freshwater systems, and open- and closed-access fisheries. To illustrate potential benefits and challenges of involving recreational fishers in fisheries management and conservation, we examined the socioeconomic and ecological contexts of each case study. We devised a conceptual framework for the engagement of recreational fishers that targets particular types of involvement (enforcement, advocacy, conservation, management design [type and location], research, and monitoring) on the basis of degree of stakeholder stewardship, scale of the fishery, and source of impacts (internal or external). These activities can be enhanced by incorporating local knowledge and traditions, taking advantage of leadership and regional networks, and creating collaborations among various stakeholder groups, scientists, and agencies to maximize the probability of recreational fisher involvement and project success.

No abstract

The southeast coast of Australia is a global hotspot for increasing ocean temperatures due to climate change. The temperate incursion of the East Australian Current (EAC) is increasing, affording increased connectivity with the Great Barrier Reef. The survival of tropically sourced juveniles over the winter is a significant stumbling block to poleward range shifts of marine organisms in this region. Here we examine the dependence of overwintering on winter severity and prewinter recruitment for eight species of juvenile coral reef fishes which are carried into temperate SE Australia (30-371S) by the EAC during the austral summer. The probability of persistence was most strongly influenced by average winter temperature and there was no effect of recruitment strength. Longterm (138 years) data indicate that winter water temperatures throughout this region are increasing at a rate above the global average and predictions indicate a further warming of 42 1C by the end of the century. Rising ocean temperatures are resulting in a higher frequency of winter temperatures above survival thresholds. Current warming trajectories predict 100% of winters will be survivable by at least five of the study species as far south as Sydney (341S) by 2080. The implications for range expansions of these and other species of coral reef fish are discussed.

Abstract:In tropical reef ecosystems corals are the key habitat builders providing most ecosystem structure, which influences coral reef biodiversity and resilience. Remote sensing applications have progressed significantly and photogrammetry together with application of structure from motion software is emerging as a leading technique to create three-dimensional (3D) models of corals and reefs from which biophysical properties of structural complexity can be quantified. This enables the addressing of a range of important marine research questions, such as what the role of habitat complexity is in driving key ecological processes (i.e., foraging). Yet, it is essential to assess the accuracy and precision of photogrammetric measurements to support their application in mapping, monitoring and quantifying coral reef form and structure. This study evaluated the precision (by repeated modeling) and accuracy (by comparison with laser reference models) of geometry and structural complexity metrics derived from photogrammetric 3D models of marine benthic habitat at two ecologically relevant spatial extents; individual coral colonies of a range of common morphologies and patches of reef area of 100s of square metres. Surface rugosity measurements were generally precise across all morphologies and spatial extents with average differences in the geometry of replicate models of 1-6 mm for coral colonies and 25 mm for the reef area. Precision decreased with complexity of the coral morphology, with metrics for small massive corals being the most precise (1% coefficient of variation (CV) in surface rugosity) and metrics for bottlebrush corals being the least precise (10% CV in surface rugosity). There was no indication however that precision was related to complexity for the patch-scale modelling. The 3D geometry of coral models differed by only 1-3 mm from laser reference models. However, high spatial variation in these differences around the model led to a consistent underestimation of surface rugosity values for all morphs of between 8% and 37%. This study highlights the utility of several off-the-shelf photogrammetry tools for the measurement of structural complexity across a range of scales relevant to ecologist and managers. It also provides important information on the accuracy and precision of these systems which should allow for their targeted use by non-experts in computer vision within these contexts.

In the present study we report the discovery of a novel protein-mineral complex in the serum of rats treated with doses of the bone-active bisphosphonate etidronate that inhibit normal bone mineralization. The composition of this high molecular mass protein-mineral complex consists of about 18% mineral, 80% fetuin, and 2% matrix Gla protein (MGP) by weight, and the presence of the complex in serum after an injection of 8 mg etidronate/100 g of body weight elevates calcium by 1.8-fold (to 4.3 mM), phosphate by 1.6-fold (to 5.6 mM), and MGP by 25-fold (to 12 g/ml). The serum mineral complex reaches maximal levels at 6 h after subcutaneous injection of etidronate and is subsequently cleared from serum by 24 h. This highly specific complex of fetuin, MGP, and mineral prevents the growth, aggregation, and precipitation of the mineral component, which indicates that the previously reported calcification inhibitory activities of fetuin and MGP may be related to their ability to form stable complexes with nascent mineral nuclei. Treatment with the vitamin K-antagonist warfarin prevents the increase in serum MGP after etidronate injection, which shows that the increase in serum MGP is due to new synthesis and that the ␥-carboxylation of MGP is necessary for its binding to the serum mineral complex.The initial objective of the present investigations was to understand how matrix Gla protein (MGP) 1 inhibits the abnormal calcification of arteries and other soft tissues. Recent genetic and biochemical studies have established MGP as the first protein known to act as a calcification inhibitor in vivo. In humans, defects in the MGP gene that predict a non-functional MGP protein have been shown to be responsible for Keutel syndrome (1), a rare inherited disease characterized by multiple peripheral pulmonary artery stenoses, by abnormal calcification of cartilages, including costal, nasal, auricle, tracheal, and growth plate cartilage, and by nasal hypoplasia and brachytelephalangia (2, 3). In mice, targeted deletion of the MGP gene causes rapid calcification of the elastic lamellae of the arterial media, which begins at birth and is sufficiently extensive by 3-6 weeks of age that the arteries become rigid tubes that fracture, causing death by exsanguination in most of the affected mice by 6 weeks of age (4). MGP-deficient mice also display abnormal calcification of growth plate and tracheal ring cartilage. Finally, treatment of rats with the vitamin K antagonist warfarin at doses that inhibit the ␥-carboxylation of MGP causes rapid calcification of elastic lamellae of arteries and of aortic heart valves and increased expression of MGP mRNA in the calcifying artery (5, 6).Matrix Gla protein is a 10-kDa secreted protein that was originally discovered in demineralization extracts of bone but is now known to be expressed by a wide variety of tissues and cell types. The rat tissues with the highest levels of MGP mRNA are cartilage, heart, kidney, and lung (7,8), and cells known to express MGP mRNA include osteoblasts, chondrocytes...