Abstract:An information system was developed to manage the data for a large number of research projects simultaneously. The system, called URIS, has facilitated the management of research data in an academic urological department. It enables end-users, who are not necessarily skilled computer scientists, to design their own databases semi-automatically, by supporting data entry screen design and the specification of research items. The system creates the database tables automatically after these activities. The specification of research items is the most important but also most difficult part in this process.
The objective of this pilot study was to determine whether machine learning can be applied on patient-reported data to model decision-making on treatments for low back pain (LBP). We used a database of a university spine centre containing patient-reported data from 1546 patients with LBP. From this dataset, a training dataset with 354 features (input data) was labelled on treatments (output data) received by these patients. For this pilot study, we focused on two treatments: pain rehabilitation and surgery. Classification algorithms in WEKA were trained, and the resulting models were validated during 10-fold cross validation. Next to this, a test dataset was constructed -containing 50 cases judged on treatments by 4 master physician assistants (MPAs) -to test the models with data not used for training. We used prediction accuracy and average area under curve (AUC) as performance measures. The interrater agreement among the 4 MPAs was substantial (Fleiss Kappa 0.67). The AUC values indicated small to medium (machine) learning effects, meaning that machine learning on patient-reported data to model decision-making processes on treatments for LBP seems possible. However, model performances must be improved before these models can be used in real practice.
Background
Patient-reported outcome measurements (PROMs) are commonly used in clinical practice to support clinical decision making. However, few studies have investigated machine learning methods for predicting PROMs outcomes and thereby support clinical decision making.
Objective
This study investigates to what extent different machine learning methods, applied to two different PROMs datasets, can predict outcomes among patients with non-specific neck and/or low back pain.
Methods
Using two datasets consisting of PROMs from (1) care-seeking low back pain patients in primary care who participated in a randomized controlled trial, and (2) patients with neck and/or low back pain referred to multidisciplinary biopsychosocial rehabilitation, we present data science methods for data prepossessing and evaluate selected regression and classification methods for predicting patient outcomes.
Results
The results show that there is a potential for machine learning to predict and classify PROMs. The prediction models based on baseline measurements perform well, and the number of predictors can be reduced, which is an advantage for implementation in decision support scenarios. The classification task shows that the dataset does not contain all necessary predictors for the care type classification. Overall, the work presents generalizable machine learning pipelines that can be adapted to other PROMs datasets.
Conclusion
This study demonstrates the potential of PROMs in predicting short-term patient outcomes. Our results indicate that machine learning methods can be used to exploit the predictive value of PROMs and thereby support clinical decision making, given that the PROMs hold enough predictive power
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