medRxiv preprint KEYPOINTS Question: Does the use of adjuvant therapy reduce progression to severe pneumonia in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)?Findings: In this retrospective, observational cohort study involving 564 patients with confirmed COVID-19, hypertension was an independent risk factor for progression to severe pneumonia irrespective of age and those on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) therapy were less likely to develop severe COVID-19 pneumonia, while nonspecific antivirals or chloroquine did not have significant impact on clinical progression. ABSTRACT IMPORTANCE Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic associated with high mortality and effective treatment to prevent clinical deterioration to severe pneumonia has not yet been well clarified. OBJECTIVE To investigate the role of several adjuvant treatments in preventing severe pneumonia in patients with COVID-19. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Multicenter, retrospective cohort study of 564 consecutively hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 at Third EXPOSURES Nonspecific antivirals (arbidol, lopinavir/ritonavir, and interferon α ), antihypertensives, and chloroquine. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The development of severe COVID-19 pneumonia; Demographic, epidemiological, clinical, laboratory, radiological, and treatment data were collected and analyzed. RESULTSOf 564 patients, the median age was 47 years (interquartile range, 36-58 years), and 284 (50.4%) patients were men. Sixty-nine patients (12.2%) developed severe pneumonia.Patients who developed severe pneumonia were older (median age of 59 and 45 years, respectively), and more patients had comorbidities including hypertension (30.4% and 12.3%,

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic associated with a high mortality. Our study aimed to determine the clinical risk factors associated with disease progression and prolonged viral shedding in patients with COVID-19. Consecutive 564 hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 between January 17, 2020 and February 28, 2020 were included in this multicenter, retrospective study. The effects of clinical factors on disease progression and prolonged viral shedding were analyzed using logistic regression and Cox regression analyses. 69 patients (12.2%) developed severe or critical pneumonia, with a higher incidence in the elderly and in individuals with underlying comorbidities, fever, dyspnea, and laboratory and imaging abnormalities at admission. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that older age (odds ratio [OR], 1.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.06), hypertension without receiving angiotensinogen converting enzyme inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEI/ARB) therapy (OR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.14-4.59), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 7.55; 95% CI, 2.44-23.39) were independent risk factors for progression to severe or critical pneumonia. Hypertensive patients without receiving ACEI/ARB therapy showed higher lactate dehydrogenase levels and computed tomography (CT) lung scores at about 3 days after admission than those on ACEI/ARB therapy. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that male gender (hazard ratio [HR], 1.22; 95% CI, 1.02-1.46), receiving lopinavir/ritonavir treatment within 7 days from illness onset (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.63-0.90), and receiving systemic glucocorticoid therapy (HR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.46-2.21) were independent factors associated with prolonged viral shedding. Our findings presented several potential clinical factors associated with developing severe or critical pneumonia and prolonged viral shedding, which may provide a rationale for clinicians in medical resource allocation and early intervention.

Background Skeletal muscle depletion is common in the elderly and individuals with chronic comorbidities, who have an increased risk of developing severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which is defined by hypoxia requiring supplemental oxygen. This study aimed to determine the association between skeletal muscle depletion and clinical outcomes in patients with severe COVID-19. Methods One hundred and sixteen patients with severe COVID-19 who underwent chest computed tomography (CT) scan on admission were included in this multicentre, retrospective study. Paraspinal muscle index (PMI) and radiodensity (PMD) were measured using CT images. The primary composite outcome was the occurrence of critical illness (respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, shock, or intensive care unit admission) or death, and the secondary outcomes were the duration of viral shedding and pulmonary fibrosis in the early rehabilitation phase. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were employed to evaluate the associations. Results The primary composite outcome occurred in 48 (41.4%) patients, who were older and had lower PMD (both P < 0.05). Higher PMD was associated with reduced risk of critical illness or death in a fully adjusted model overall (OR per SD increment: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80-0.95; P = 0.002) and in female patients (OR per SD increment: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.91; P = 0.006), although the effect was not statistically significant in male patients (P = 0.202). Higher PMD (HR per SD increment: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.02-1.14; P = 0.008) was associated with shorter duration of viral shedding among female survivors. However, no significant association was found between PMD and pulmonary fibrosis in the early rehabilitation phase, or between PMI and any outcome in both men and women. Conclusion Higher PMD, a proxy measure of lower muscle fat deposition, was associated with a reduced risk of disease deterioration and decreased likelihood of prolonged viral shedding among female patients with severe COVID-19.