A mathematical model for estimating the risk of airborne transmission of a respiratory infection such as COVID-19 is presented. The model employs basic concepts from fluid dynamics and incorporates the known scope of factors involved in the airborne transmission of such diseases. Simplicity in the mathematical form of the model is by design so that it can serve not only as a common basis for scientific inquiry across disciplinary boundaries but it can also be understandable by a broad audience outside science and academia. The caveats and limitations of the model are discussed in detail. The model is used to assess the protection from transmission afforded by face coverings made from a variety of fabrics. The reduction in the transmission risk associated with increased physical distance between the host and susceptible is also quantified by coupling the model with available and new large eddy simulation data on scalar dispersion in canonical flows. Finally, the effect of the level of physical activity (or exercise intensity) of the host and the susceptible in enhancing the transmission risk is also assessed.
The spatio-temporal dynamics of separation bubbles induced to form in a fully-developed turbulent boundary layer (with Reynolds number based on momentum thickness of the boundary layer of 490) over a flat plate are studied via direct numerical simulations. Two different separation bubbles are examined: one induced by a suction-blowing velocity profile on the top boundary and the other, by a suction-only velocity profile. The latter condition allows reattachment to occur without an externally imposed favorable pressure gradient and leads to a separation bubble more representative of those occurring over airfoils and in diffusers. The suction-only separation bubble exhibits a range of clearly distinguishable modes including a high-frequency mode and a low-frequency "breathing" mode that has been observed in some previous experiments. The high-frequency mode is well characterized by classical frequency scalings for a plane mixing layer and is associated with the formation and shedding of spanwise oriented vortex rollers. The topology associated with the low-frequency motion is revealed by applying dynamic mode decomposition to the data from the simulations and is shown to be dominated by highly elongated structures in the streamwise direction. The possibility of Görtler instability induced by the streamwise curvature on the upstream end of the separation bubble as the underlying mechanism for these structures and the associated low frequency is explored.
Separating turbulent boundary layers over smooth and rough flat plates are studied by large-eddy simulations. A suction–blowing velocity distribution imposed at the top boundary of the computation domain produces an adverse-to-favourable pressure gradient and creates a closed separation bubble. The Reynolds number based on the momentum thickness and the free-stream velocity before the pressure gradient begins is 2500. Virtual sand grain roughness in the fully rough regime is modelled by an immersed boundary method. Compared with a smooth-wall case, streamline detachment occurs earlier and the separation region is substantially larger for the rough-wall case, due to the momentum deficit caused by the roughness. The adverse pressure gradient decreases the form drag, so that the point where the wall stress vanishes does not coincide with the detachment of the flow from the surface. A thin reversed-flow region is formed below the roughness crest; the presence of recirculation regions behind each roughness element also affects the intermittency of the near-wall flow, so that upstream of the detachment point the flow can be reversed half of the time, but its average velocity can still be positive. The separated shear layer exhibits higher turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) in the rough-wall case, the growth of the TKE there begins earlier relative to the separation point, and the peak TKE occurs close to the separation point. The momentum deficit caused by the roughness, again, plays a critical role in these changes.
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