The version presented here may differ from the published version. If citing, you are advised to consult the published version for pagination, volume/issue and date of publication Negative extreme events in gross primary productivity and their drivers in China during the past three decades
During the early to middle Holocene, the Sahara received enhanced precipitation and was covered by steppe-like vegetation with a large-scale hydrographic network of lakes, wetlands and fans, which is known as the Green Sahara (GS). However, most coupled land-atmosphere models underestimate the precipitation and vegetation cover, suggesting that critical atmospheric or land surface processes are lacking in those models. Climate-induced vegetation cover change can modify soil texture and physical properties over the long term, which in turn have feedbacks on vegetation. In this study, we examine five plausible soil-vegetation processes in a land surface model, which are expected to increase soil moisture for plants and possibly sustain equilibrium vegetation for a lower rainfall level. The annual precipitation required during the GS epoch to match the modelled vegetation distribution with paleorecords is inferred. Results demonstrate that these soil-vegetation processes have strong positive impacts on vegetation and soil moisture, especially the increase of soil evaporative resistance. After including all soil feedbacks on vegetation, the model requires only a mean precipitation of~400 mm/yr to reproduce the pollen-inferred GS vegetation, instead of~600 mm/yr when no soil feedback is included. From the mid-Holocene to pre-industrial period, we infer that terrestrial carbon stocks decrease by~58 PgC due to the removal of carbon in vegetation, soil and litter pools of the GS. This work highlights the importance of soil-vegetation interactions for simulating dry-region vegetation coverage in models, and the impacts of natural land cover change on carbon budgets in the geological past.
As the frequency and intensity of climate extremes are likely to be substantially modified in upcoming decades due to climate warming, an evaluation of the response of interannual vegetation variabilities to climate extremes is imperative. This study comprehensively analyzed the spatio-temporal variabilities of 21 temperature and precipitation indices across Hubei Province in Central China based on daily meteorological records for the period 1961-2015. To quantify the sensitivity of the vegetation to climate indices in the study area, we correlated climate indices with three vegetation indicators: leaf area index, normalized difference vegetation index, and gross primary productivity. The results indicated that warm-related indices exerted considerable increasing trends, especially for summer days at a rate of 0.35 days year −1 (p < 0.01). In addition, the trends of 18 indices during 1982-2015 were larger than those during 1961-2015, indicating accelerated climate changes in Hubei Province. Spatially, extreme precipitation showed increases in the eastern regions of the study area and decreases in the western regions. Correlation analyses revealed that warm anomalies of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation resulted in extreme warm conditions and extreme precipitation in the study area. Stepwise linear regression analyses identified three temperature indices and three precipitation indices, which were mostly correlated with the three ecosystem variables at the site scale. Further multiple regressions demonstrated the main negative impacts caused by frost days, warm spell duration, extremely heavy precipitation, and consecutive dry days on the terrestrial ecosystem in Hubei Province. Our study provides an improved understanding of the effects of climate extremes on terrestrial ecosystems and can also offer a basis for the management of mitigating damage from climate extremes.
The hyperarid Sahara in North Africa is currently the largest hot desert and one of the largest sources of airborne dust on the Earth (Palchan & Torfstein, 2019). But during the early to middle Holocene (11-5 ka), large parts of the Sahara were much wetter and greener than today (Pausata et al., 2020). Evidence for this mid-Holocene "Green Sahara" comes from paleolake deposits (
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