Purpose We develop a new risk score to predict patients with stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) who have an acute intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). Method We applied logistic regression to develop a new risk score called ICH-LR2S2. It was derived from examining a dataset of 70,540 ICH patients between 2015 and 2018 from the Chinese Stroke Center Alliance (CSCA). During the training of ICH-LR2S2, patients were randomly divided into two groups – 80% for the training set and 20% for model validation. A prospective test set was developed using 12,523 patients recruited in 2019. To further verify its effectiveness, we tested ICH-LR2S2 on an external dataset of 24,860 patients from the China National Stroke Registration Management System II (CNSR II). The performance of ICH-LR2S2 was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results The incidence of SAP in the dataset was 25.52%. A 24-point ICH-LR2S2 was developed from independent predictors, including age, modified Rankin Scale, fasting blood glucose, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale admission score, Glasgow Coma Scale score, C-reactive protein, dysphagia, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, and current smoking. The results showed that ICH-LR2S2 achieved an AUC = 0.749 [95% CI 0.739–0.759], which outperforms the best baseline ICH-APS (AUC = 0.704) [95% CI 0.694–0.714]. Compared with the previous ICH risk scores, ICH-LR2S2 incorporates fasting blood glucose and C-reactive protein, improving its discriminative ability. Machine learning methods such as XGboost (AUC = 0.772) [95% CI 0.762–0.782] can further improve our prediction performance. It also performed well when further validated by the external independent cohort of patients (n = 24,860), ICH-LR2S2 AUC = 0.784 [95% CI 0.774–0.794]. Conclusion ICH-LR2S2 accurately distinguishes SAP patients based on easily available clinical features. It can help identify high-risk patients in the early stages of diseases.
Human Phenotype Ontology (HPO)-based approaches have gained popularity in recent times as a tool for genomic diagnostics of rare diseases. However, these approaches do not make full use of the available information on disease and patient phenotypes. We present a new method called Phen2Disease, which utilizes the bidirectional maximum matching semantic similarity between two phenotype sets of patients and diseases to prioritize diseases and genes. Our comprehensive experiments have been conducted on six real data cohorts with 2051 cases (Cohort 1, n = 384; Cohort 2, n = 281; Cohort 3, n = 185; Cohort 4, n = 784; Cohort 5, n = 208; and Cohort 6, n = 209) and two simulated data cohorts with 1000 cases. The results of the experiments showed that Phen2Disease outperforms the three state-of-the-art methods when only phenotype information and HPO knowledge base are used, particularly in cohorts with fewer average numbers of HPO terms. We also observed that patients with higher information content scores have more specific information, leading to more accurate predictions. Moreover, Phen2Disease provides high interpretability with ranked diseases and patient HPO terms presented. Our method provides a novel approach to utilizing phenotype data for genomic diagnostics of rare diseases, with potential for clinical impact. Phen2Disease is freely available on GitHub at https://github.com/ZhuLab-Fudan/Phen2Disease.
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