The results of our study suggest that an elaborated follow-up schedule in cutaneous melanoma is suitable for the early detection of second primary melanomas and early recurrences. The intensity of clinical and technical examinations can be reduced during follow-up of patients in the primary tumor stages and may be intensified in locoregional disease. Recommendations for an effective follow-up strategy are outlined.
Background. Anatomic location has been identified by several investigators as a significant prognostic factor for patients with primary cutaneous melanoma (CM). However, the best determination of higher and lower risk sites is still controversial, and the biologic significance of tumor site in the course of primary CM is unknown. The aim of the present study was to identify higher and lower risk sites based on multivariate analysis.
Methods. A series of 5093 patients with invasive primary cutaneous melanoma followed from 1970 to 1988 at four university centers in Germany was investigated using the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model to analyze the importance of anatomic location for survival probability.
Results. The anatomic location was found to be a highly significant prognostic factor for patients with primary melanoma by multivariate analysis (P < 0.0001). An optimized classification into sites of higher and lower risk with respect to survival was evaluated by multivariate analysis controlling for the possible confounding effects of the other significant prognostic factors. Relative to the lower leg as the prognostically favorable baseline, the following locations were associated with a significantly higher risk of death caused by primary cutaneous melanoma: back and breast (thorax), upper arm, neck, and scalp (TANS regions). The lower trunk, thigh, lower leg, foot, lower arms, hands, and face were identified as lower risk sites.
Conclusions. Anatomic location was confirmed as an independent prognostic factor for patients with primary cutaneous melanoma. The TANS regions were identified as high risk sites, and the lower trunk, thigh, lower leg, foot, lower arms, hands, and face were identified as intermediate sites.
patients were classified as having lymph node metastasis, and their 5-year survival rate was 50%. Disseminated disease was diagnosed in only 8 patients, who had a Section of Dermatologic Oncology, Department median survival of 6 months. Comparison of survival probabilities for patients of Dermatology, Eberhard-Karls-University, with in-transit metastases and unknown primary tumors with the probabilities for Tuebingen, Germany.those with cutaneous primary tumors revealed a significant advantage for the former group. No significant differences were found for patients with lymph node metastasis when those with unknown primary tumors were compared with those who had cutaneous melanomas with regional lymph node metastasis.
CONCLUSIONS.The clinical disease course of patients with metastatic melanoma of unknown primary origin is similar to that of patients with primary cutaneous melanoma when the same clinical stages of the disease are compared. Based on the assumption that the majority of regional metastases develop from completely regressed primary cutaneous melanoma, recommendations for initial staging examinations in patients with unknown primary tumors are given in this article.
Factors associated with the detection of cutaneous melanomas and reasons for delay in diagnosis were investigated in 429 patients with histologically proven melanoma operated on between January 1993 and June 1996. Patients were interviewed using a standardized questionnaire. In 25% of patients, treatment was delayed for more than 1 year from the time they first noticed a suspicious pigmented lesion. Melanoma was detected by the patients themselves in 67% of women and 45% of men. The three predominant clinical symptoms of melanoma were change in colour (darker), increase in size and increase in elevation of a pigmented lesion. The role of sun exposure and of naevi as risk factors for melanoma, as well as the potential benefit of early treatment, were known by 87%, 66% and 82% of the patients, respectively. However, melanoma awareness had no impact on the time period between first observation of skin changes and treatment. Among the factors associated with delay in melanoma diagnosis, an initial incorrect diagnosis as a benign lesion by the physician first visited (in 18% of all cases) had the highest significance. Patients detecting their lesions themselves were treated significantly later than patients in whom others had remarked on changes in a naevus. Furthermore, melanomas of the head and neck were treated later than melanomas at other body sites. Further efforts to educate both the public and the medical profession are essential to ensure earlier treatment for cutaneous melanomas.
Background. Numerous investigations have examined prognostic factors for patients with primary cutaneous melanoma. However, only a few studies have been published on the definition of prognostic groups. The first aim of the present study was to determine the relative importance of different prognostic factors in a large collective study. The second aim was to define prognostic groups of patients based on combinations of prognostic factors and to define a model that allows the estimation of individual survival probability.
Methods. Long term follow‐up of 5264 patients with invasive primary cutaneous melanoma was performed from 1970 to 1988 at four German University Departments of Dermatology (Berlin‐Steglitz, Münster‐Hornheide, Tübingen, and Würzburg). The multivariate Cox model was used to analyze 5093 patients, and 4371 patients with complete information were included in a classification and regression tree analysis (CART).
Results. Tumor thickness, sex, anatomic location, and level of invasion were highly significant prognostic factors according to the multivariate analysis (P < 0.0001). However, histologic subtype and age influenced prognosis less significantly (P < 0.05). The CART analysis resulted in 12 groups defined mainly by tumor thickness, sex, and anatomic location, which were combined i five prognostic groups. The prognostic stratification defined by the five groups was superior compared with standard TNM model. Ten‐year survival rates of the five groups ranged from 97% to 14% (P < 0.0001), and an equation was used to calculate individual survival probabilities based on the significant factors of the Cox model.
Conclusions. Consideration of all significant prognostic factors of patients with primary cutaneous melanoma investigated in the present study allows for definition of prognostic groups with a more reliable estimation of prognosis than by previous staging systems and also enables calculation of individual survival probabilities.
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