Species assembly and niche differentiation were studied, and future species composition was predicted by simple Markov models, in an old-growth deciduous forest at the Ogawa Forest Reserve in central Japan. The dominant species in our 6ha study site are Quercus serrata, Fagusjaponica, and F. crenata.An ordination by population parameters revealed four different combination 3 of life forms and regeneration niches. Cluster analysis based on interspecific spatial correlation revealed three groups of species. The species in cluster A, such as F. japonica, occurred at the bottom of the valley, while those in cluster B, such as Q. serrata, occurred along ridges. Species in cluster C, such as F. crenata, did not show any particular habitat preference. Clusters B and C were further divided into three smaller clusters (a-c). Both clusters Ba and Bb included shade intolerant species. Species in cluster Ba had large clump sizes (> 1500 m2), reflecting regeneration following large-scale disturbances. Species in cluster Bb had smaller clump sizes (< 400 m 2) reflecting regeneration following local disturbances. Clusters Caand Cb mainly included shade tolerant species and shade intolerant species, respectively. Markov models predicted that shade intolerant species, particularly those in cluster Ba, would be eliminated. Thus, species coexist by differentiation of both habitats and regeneration niche in this forest community. Some species such as Quercus serrata, however, regenerate following large-scale disturbances or human activity.

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We analysed the regeneration process of Magnolia obovata using polymorphic microsatellite markers. Eighty-three adult trees standing in a watershed covering an area of 69 ha, and saplings collected from a smaller research plot (6 ha) located at the centre of the watershed were genotyped using microsatellite markers. Among 91 saplings analysed, 24 (26%) had both parents, 31 (34%) had one parent and 36 (40%) had no parent within the watershed. The proportion of genes in saplings inherited from the adults within the watershed was 43%, and therefore 57% were from outside the site, indicating active gene exchange across the watershed area. Average distance between parents and saplings (264.6 +/- 135.3 (SD) m) was significantly smaller than that of pairs randomly chosen between adults and saplings (436.7 +/- 203.0 (SD) m). The distance of pollen movement inferred from the distance between the two parents of each sapling ranged from 3.2 m to 540 m with an average of 131.1 m +/- 121.1 m (SD). Because 34% ( = 31/91) of saplings had only one parent within the watershed, the estimate of average pollen movement must be smaller than the actual one. Long-distance seed dispersal by birds, inbreeding depression and limitation in acceptance of pollen because of the difference of phenology in each individual flower were considered to be the probable causes of large gene exchange across the watershed.

Abstract. Aesculus turbinata is a tree species with large seeds (6.2 g mean dry weight). We studied the demography of its seeds and seedlings in a temperate deciduous forest in northern Japan to elucidate the ecological significance of large seeds with special reference to herbivory and secondary dispersal. Both seed and seedling stages suffered greatly from herbivores. Seedling herbivory was important judged from experiments with shoot clipping and hypogeal cotyledon removal. However, some seedlings survived through re‐sprouting after herbivory. Survival rate and percentage resprouting seedlings were lower than those with remaining cotyledons, though seedling size was not affected. This suggests that stored resources in hypogeal cotyledons are working as a kind of ‘risk hedge’ against severe aboveground shoot clipping experienced by A. turbinata. The spatial distribution of seedlings was expanded via seed scatter‐hoarding by rodents. Seedling survival rate was higher within canopy gaps than under closed canopy, indicating that canopy gaps are safe sites for establishment, and was negatively correlated with seedling density. Therefore, secondary seed dispersal in this species seems to be effective in ‘finding’ safe sites and in ‘escaping’ density‐dependent mortality. The large seeds and seedlings of A. turbinata are attractive to herbivores, but the high resistance of seedlings to herbivory due to large reserves and the effective secondary dispersal appear to mitigate these disadvantages.

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