Os eventos de escassez hídrica observados nos últimos anos e o aumento populacional no Estado de São Paulo têm conduzido à maior explotação de água subterrânea do Sistema Aquífero Guarani (SAG) para abastecimento público. Somente no município de Bauru/SP, está previsto um aumento da vazão de água extraída deste Aquífero de 3.699 m³/h (2014) para 4.465 m³/h (2034). Entretanto, a superexplotação em longo prazo do Aquífero pode comprometer a quantidade de água disponível. O Método de Elementos Analíticos foi utilizado para a modelagem do escoamento em regime permanente, considerando o escoamento regional, a extração de água por poços e os principais condicionantes geológicos locais. Observou-se que o gradiente hidráulico do SAG na cidade de Bauru é de aproximadamente 0,82 m/km. Os poços públicos que operam em regime de escoamento confinado estão localizados a nordeste da cidade. O rebaixamento esperado devido ao cenário previsto pelo DAE, em 2034, é de até 15 m com relação ao cenário atual (2014). Este rebaixamento pode ser controlado em até 5 m, reduzindo em 20% a vazão média anual de todos os poços, e em até 10 m, reduzindo em 10% a vazão média anual de todos os poços localizados na área central. A extração de água do SAG em Bauru/SP pode causar o rebaixamento de até 15 m nas cidades mais próximas (Piratininga e Agudos) e pouco interfere no escoamento de água do SAG das cidades mais distantes. Finalmente, os mapas potenciométricos e de rebaixamento gerados pelo modelo analítico são adequados para a análise do escoamento de água subterrânea e podem auxiliar no gerenciamento de recursos hídricos.
The recent drought events and the population growth in São Paulo State (Brazil) have caused many municipalities to increase the groundwater exploitation of the Guarani Aquifer System (GAS) for the public water supply. In Bauru City/SP, the extraction of water from this Aquifer is expected to increase from 3699 m 3 /h (2014) to 4465 m 3 /h (2034). However, its long-term overexploitation may compromise the amount of available groundwater. The Analytic Element Method was used for groundwater flow modeling at steady-state, which includes the regional flow, the water withdrawal from wells and the main local geological conditions. The hydraulic gradient 0.82 m/km was estimated in the GAS in Bauru City. The potentiometric drawdown in the GAS in Bauru was estimated as 50 m since the beginning of the groundwater exploitation. The drawdown for the groundwater pumping scenario in 2014 is higher than 15 m in Piratininga and Agudos and lower than 10 m in further cities. The expected drawdown for the scenario of 2034 can reach 15 m in comparison with the scenario of 2014, in the North of Bauru City, where the future wells will be located.Keywords: Hydrogeology and groundwater; Analytic element method; Water resources management; Guarani Aquifer System.
RESUMOOs eventos de escassez hídrica observados nos últimos anos e o aumento populacional no Estado de São Paulo têm conduzido à maior explotação de água subterrânea do Sistema Aquífero Guarani (SAG) para abastecimento público. Somente no município de Bauru/SP, está previsto um aumento da vazão de água extraída deste Aquífero de 3699 m Assessment of the potentiometric drawdown in the Guarani Aquifer System in Bauru/SP by a model of analytical elements
The assessment and forecasting of nutrient loss by tile drains in agricultural areas often rely on physically based models that have adequate representations of macropores and tile drains. Macroporosity has been adequately represented in hydrological models using a dual continuum approach. However, its implementation in hydrological and solute transport models is limited to plot-scale or to one-and two-dimensional models due to the large number of parameters that are rarely available and the long computational times. The purpose of this study is to simulate a tracer test using a 3D coupled surface-subsurface model to improve the representation of the tracer concentration at the drainage discharge. A three-dimensional HydroGeoSphere model was developed and calibrated to simulate tile drainage discharge, Br mass discharge, and hydraulic heads from a Br tracer test in a densely tile-drained field. The conductivity of the drain was one of the most important parameters for drain discharge and solute transport simulations. The model accurately simulated drainage discharge and Br transport to tile drains. However, most of the Br peaks and the late-time Br mass in the drain outflow were underestimated. Our simulation results indicate that explicitly representing tile drains with seepage nodes allows for a physically based, yet computationally efficient representation of Br transport behavior surrounding tile drains at field scale. However, we cannot confirm that the single-porosity model with immobile zone is suitable for simulating the Br peaks at the drain outlet and the late-time Br mass. Improvements to the model include the implementation of heterogeneous soil layers and the inclusion of more measured data to reduce uncertainty during calibration.
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