India has an ambitious target to promote clean energy penetration, but as of 2021, the electricity mix of India is dominated by coal to about 71%. Therefore, analyzing the clean energy potential and the ability of the individual states to entrench energy transition in the upcoming years will be supportive for policymakers. This study is propounded to assess the clean energy transition potential with a focused analysis on seven major power-producing states of India. These states include Maharashtra, Gujarat, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, and Andhra Pradesh. The clean energy transition potential assessment is performed by utilizing multi-criteria decision analysis methodologies such as the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) and Multi-Objective Optimization Method by Ratio Analysis (MOORA). Further, the analysis is performed against four major criteria that include high carbon energy resource dependency, low carbon energy resource dependency, clean energy potential, and policy support. Altogether, the assessment criteria include four primary level criteria and fourteen secondary level parameters. In order to reflect the significance of each parameter and criterion to the characteristics of clean energy transition potential, appropriate weightage is provided using the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The results indicate that Gujarat has the highest clean energy transition potential in both the multi-criteria decision analysis methods. On the other hand, Uttar Pradesh exhibited the least performance, and a complete energy transition to clean energy resources is less likely in this state. The rest of the states obtained intermediate ranking, and a comparative analysis between the two methods was also accomplished. This study suggests that India should focus on the clean energy policy with vigorous efforts on top-performing states which will effectively accelerate the power sector decarbonization.
India has ambitious goals to increase renewable energy penetration, and significant progress has been made since 2017. However, the Indian energy mix is highly dominated by fossil fuels. To set India on the pathway of the energy transition, a comprehensive analysis of the complex factors influencing the Indian energy sector is required. This study is put forward to delineate the current energy transition scenario in India and to direct the energy sector towards a prospective scenario for accomplishing a smooth energy transition. A hybrid quantitative-qualitative SWOT-integrated MCDA methodology is employed to accomplish the objective of this study. An extensive literature review is performed to understand and sort the various factors under each SWOT category. Fuzzy AHP methodology is utilized to convert the qualitative significance of each SWOT factor into quantitative scores, through which the crucial influencing factor in the current energy transition scenario is obtained. The top three highest-influence factors include utilizing the cost-competitiveness of solar and wind energy technologies over fossil fuels, the inadequacy of manpower having specialized skillsets, and connecting households to electricity and electrifying the transportation sector. The recommendation strategies are framed and presented for prospective energy transition scenarios. These strategies are assessed against the SWOT factors by using the PROMETHEE II methodology. The assessment results highlight that developing robust regulatory and policy frameworks, increasing the contribution of local energy resources, and promoting the distributed generation and grid infrastructure development are the highest-scoring strategies that have a synergic effect on multiple dimensions of energy transition, including political, financial, and techno-economic aspects. The proposed study will be conducive to framing effective policy in the upcoming years to assist the energy transition in India.
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