African swine fever (ASF) is a notifiable, highly contagious and fatal viral disease of both wild and domestic suids. ASF has a severe socio-economic impact on the meat industry globally (Beltrán-Alcrudo,
Introduction: Bacillus anthracis spores may remain viable for many years in soil. Previous studies have identified East Qinghai and neighbouring Gansu in northwest China as a potential source of anthrax infection. This study was carried out to identify conditions and areas in the Qinghai lake basin that are environmentally suitable for Bacillus anthracis spore survival. Materials and Methods: Anthrax occurrence data from 2005 – 2016 and environmental variables were spatially modeled by a maximum entropy algorithm to evaluate the contribution of the variables to the distribution of the spore. A Principal Component and Variance Inflation Analysis were adopted to limit the number of environmental variables and minimize multicollinearity. Results: The three variables that contributed most to the suitability model for B. anthracis spores are a relatively high annual mean temperature (53%), soil type (35%), and a high human population density (12%). The most significant soil types were cambisols and kastanozems. The resulting distribution map identifies the permanently inhabited rim of the Qinghai Lake as highly suitable for the survival and persistence of the spores. Conclusion: The highly suitable areas for spores could be considered as a risk zone for Anthrax infection by spores of the livestock and the human population. Our environmental suitability map and the identified variables provides the nature reserve managers and animal health authorities readily available information to devise a surveillance strategy in B. anthracis suitable regions to abate future epidemics.
Canine distemper virus (CDV) is a lethal viral disease of carnivores which is considered to be a serious threat to domestic and wild species. Despite the widespread use of vaccines, CDV still occurs in vaccinated animals and current vaccines does not guarantee complete protection. In this study, a total of 286 hemagglutinin (H) gene sequences of the virus isolated in 25 countries during 90 years (1930–2020) were analyzed by Bayesian maximum likelihood analysis to estimate the population dynamics. We identified the most recent common ancestor (TMRCA) of the virus in 1868 in the USA which arrived in continental Europe in 1948, and from there, the virus spread rapidly to other continents. The Canidae family was identified as the original host as well as a source of the subsequent spread. We identified 11 lineages of geographic co-circulating strains globally. The effective population size experienced a two-phase-exponential growth between 2000–2005 and 2010–2012. Our findings provide a novel insight into the epidemic history of canine distemper virus which may facilitate more effective disease management. This study uses a large set of sequencing data on the H gene of CDV to identify distinct lineages of the virus, track its geographic spread over time, analyze its likelihood of transmission within and between animal families, and provide suggestions for improved strategies to combat the virus. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10344-023-01685-z.
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