Innovative development is impossible without the support of scientific research capable of forming fundamentally new technological approaches. The process of knowledge development cannot be fully formalized, therefore, management decisions are made in conditions of uncertainty. The models developed on the basis of self-organization are the most effective for predicting the development of knowledge in the innovation system. On the basis of the developed recurrent neural network, the analysis of the influence of the state scientific and technical policy on the formation of the strategies of the actors of the national innovation systems of the BRICS countries is carried out. The determinants of the influence of the state scientific and technical policy on the development of knowledge in the innovation system are revealed.
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