This paper reviews the empirical literature studying the effect of the introduction of presumptive taxation methods on taxpayers’ behavior. Although the concept of presumptive taxation entails numerous alternative methods to determine tax liabilities, I survey two main areas of the literature: indirect tax assessment methods and presumptive minimum taxes. The review investigates efficiency and equity implications of presumptive taxation methods. Conflicting conclusions emerge about the effectiveness of presumptive policy tools in achieving different goals, such as the increase of voluntary tax compliance, the growth of tax revenues, and the reduction of shadow economy and fiscal evasion.
This paper reassesses the relationship between tax structure and long-run income, using as indicators of tax structure both a new series of implicit tax rates based on Mendoza et al. (J Public Econ 66:99-126, 1997) and tax ratios, adopting a dynamic panel estimation strategy, and explicitly accounting for cross-sectional dependence in the panel. When implicit tax rates are used, the paper shows that the link between tax structure and long-run income per capita is not robust to the adoption of different assumptions on observable and unobservable heterogeneity across countries. When tax ratios are used, there is some evidence of a negative impact of labour taxation on long-run income, but this result is shown to capture non-fiscal effects coming from the evolution of the labour share. Turning to the short run, the research presented here finds strong evidence of a positive effect on per capita income of a tax shift from labour and capital taxation towards consumption taxation, which provides support for fiscal devaluations.
We discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the fiscal consolidation package adopted by Italy in 2011. Estimated at 3.3% of GDP, the tax measures were introduced to reduce public deficits without weakening the prospects of economic recovery or producing adverse redistributive outcomes. The tax reform mainly increases consumption and property taxes and gives relief for firms that recapitalize or hire young workers and women. To some extent, these measures are consistent with scholarly suggestions to foster short-and long-term economic growth by shifting the tax burden from capital and labour income towards consumption and property. Using microsimulation models, we evaluate the distributional and growth effects of the tax package. The indirect and property tax reforms are highly regressive, while the reform as a whole makes limited resources available for growth-enhancing policies, in terms of a reduction in the effective corporate tax burden. We propose a revenue neutral alternative reform that allows channelling more fiscal resources towards corporate tax relief, while at the same time producing less regressive distributional effects.JEL Codes: H2, D22, D31
We discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the fiscal consolidation package adopted by Italy in 2011. Estimated at 3.3% of GDP, the tax measures were introduced to reduce public deficits without weakening the prospects of economic recovery or producing adverse redistributive outcomes. The tax reform mainly increases consumption and property taxes and gives relief for firms that recapitalize or hire young workers and women. To some extent, these measures are consistent with scholarly suggestions to foster short-and long-term economic growth by shifting the tax burden from capital and labour income towards consumption and property. Using microsimulation models, we evaluate the distributional and growth effects of the tax package. The indirect and property tax reforms are highly regressive, while the reform as a whole makes limited resources available for growth-enhancing policies, in terms of a reduction in the effective corporate tax burden. We propose a revenue neutral alternative reform that allows channelling more fiscal resources towards corporate tax relief, while at the same time producing less regressive distributional effects.JEL Codes: H2, D22, D31
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