The olefin production process is explosive and fire hazardous. Thus, the development of a diagnostic system for earlier identifying abnormal situations and determining their causes is an important task. Analysis of the process is executed to elaborate a diagnostic model. Possible abnormal situations, their location, and symptoms are determined. It is proposed to realize process monitoring with the aid of widely used PCA. Monitoring of the process state is carried out according to the PCA model by the control of statistics T2 and Q in the principal component subspace and residual subspace, respectively. To determine the causes of abnormal situations, it is proposed to use a combined two‐level frame production diagnostic model. The upper level of the model is formed by the network of root frames, and the lower level contains daughter frames with production rules that describe abnormal situations. The working capacity of the model is shown with the help of a specialized expert shell. The possibility of using a diagnostic system to monitor the activity of catalyst and maintain roughly constant yield of olefins during catalyst coking is shown.
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