Insight into how environmental change determines the production and distribution of cyanobacterial toxins is necessary for risk assessment. Management guidelines currently focus on hepatotoxins (microcystins). Increasing attention is given to other classes, such as neurotoxins (e.g., anatoxin-a) and cytotoxins (e.g., cylindrospermopsin) due to their potency. Most studies examine the relationship between individual toxin variants and environmental factors, such as nutrients, temperature and light. In summer 2015, we collected samples across Europe to investigate the effect of nutrient and temperature gradients on the variability of toxin production at a continental scale. Direct and indirect effects of temperature were the main drivers of the spatial distribution in the toxins produced by the cyanobacterial community, the toxin concentrations and toxin quota. Generalized linear models showed that a Toxin Diversity Index (TDI) increased with latitude, while it decreased with water stability. Increases in TDI were explained through a significant increase in toxin variants such as MC-YR, anatoxin and cylindrospermopsin, accompanied by a decreasing presence of MC-LR. While global warming continues, the direct and indirect effects of increased lake temperatures will drive changes in the distribution of cyanobacterial toxins in Europe, potentially promoting selection of a few highly toxic species or strains.

Several studies have shown that submerged macrophytes provide a refuge for zooplankton against fish predation, whereas the role of emergent and floating-leaved species, which are often dominant in eutrophic turbid lakes, is far less investigated.

Because of its high grazing potential, Daphnia magna is an ecologically important species in aquatic food webs. This is especially true in small, shallow ponds lacking fish, where grazing by D. magna may have a relatively higher impact on water clarity as compared to larger lakes. Thus, a reduction in daphnid abundance may have dramatic ecological consequences for shallow ponds. At the same time, shallow ponds in close proximity to agricultural areas likely experience higher concentrations of pesticides because of runoff, spray drift, and drain flow. In the present study, the acute and chronic physiological effects of the strobilurin fungicide azoxystrobin on three clones of D. magna originating from different Danish lakes were evaluated. Significant clonal variation in the sensitivity of D. magna toward azoxystrobin was demonstrated. One clone had a 48-h median lethal concentration (LC50) of 0.277 mg/L (95% confidence limits [CL], 0.145 and 0.427 mg/L), which is comparable to the value widely used in risk assessments (0.259 mg/L). The two remaining clones were far more sensitive, however, and had LC50s of 0.071 mg/L (95% CL, 0.034 and 0.126 mg/L) and 0.098 mg/L (95% CL, 0.066 and 0.139 mg/L), respectively. Furthermore, through respiration measurements and life-table experiments, sublethal stress was shown to exist at exposure to an ecologically relevant concentration (0.026 microg/L). Based on these results, we may expect changes in daphnid populations at azoxystrobin concentrations much lower than previously thought. Thus, ponds in the agricultural areas may experience changes in food-web structure even at very low concentrations of azoxystrobin.

Under ongoing climate change and increasing anthropogenic activity, which continuously challenge ecosystem resilience, an in-depth understanding of ecological processes is urgently needed. Lakes, as providers of numerous ecosystem services, face multiple stressors that threaten their functioning. Harmful cyanobacterial blooms are a persistent problem resulting from nutrient pollution and climate-change induced stressors, like poor transparency, increased water temperature and enhanced stratification. Consistency in data collection and analysis methods is necessary to achieve fully comparable datasets and for statistical validity, avoiding issues linked to disparate data sources. The European Multi Lake Survey (EMLS) in summer 2015 was an initiative among scientists from 27 countries to collect and analyse lake physical, chemical and biological variables in a fully standardized manner. This database includes in-situ lake variables along with nutrient, pigment and cyanotoxin data of 369 lakes in Europe, which were centrally analysed in dedicated laboratories. Publishing the EMLS methods and dataset might inspire similar initiatives to study across large geographic areas that will contribute to better understanding lake responses in a changing environment.

The toxicity of Poterioochromonas to Daphnia magna was investigated at different food (Scenedesmus acutus) levels. Poterioochromonas alone of 0.4-20 mg C L(-1) was not acutely toxic to D. magna, but did not support D. magna growth, either. When fed mixed diets (2 mg C L(-1) in total), D. magna's survival and reproduction were significantly depressed when Poterioochromonas comprised above 50%, likely due to the inhibition of food ingestion. Large juveniles were less sensitive to poor quality food than neonates. Therefore, Poterioochromonas may affect D. magna living to various extents depending on its concentration, age structure of D. magna populations and availability of other food.