Summary Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are clonal haematological disorders characterized by haematopoietic cell dysplasia, peripheral blood cytopenias, and a predisposition for developing acute myeloid leukaemia (AML). Cytogenetics have historically been important in diagnosis and prognosis in MDS, but the growing accessibility of next generation sequencing (NGS) has led to growing research in the roles of molecular genetic variation on clinical decision‐making in these disorders. Multiple genes have been previously studied and found to be associated with specific outcomes or disease types within MDS and knowledge of mutations in these genes provides insight into previously defined MDS subtypes. Knowledge of these mutations also informs development of novel therapies in the treatment of MDS. The precise role of NGS in the diagnosis, prognosis and monitoring of MDS remains unclear but the improvements in NGS technology and accessibility affords clinicians an additional practice tool to provide the best care for patients.
Treatment decisions in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) are guided by numerous prognostic systems. Patient specific comorbidities have influence on treatment related survival, and are considered in clinical contexts, but have not been routinely incorporated into current prognostic models. We hypothesized that patient specific comorbidities would inform prognosis and could be incorporated into a quantitative score. All patients with PMF or secondary MF (sMF) with available DNA and comprehensive electronic health record (EHR) data treated at Vanderbilt University Medical Center between 1995-2016 were identified within Vanderbilt's Synthetic Derivative and BioVU Biobank. We recapitulated established PMF risk scores (e.g., DIPSS, DIPSS plus, GPSS, MIPSS 70+) and comorbidities through EHR chart extraction and next generation sequencing (NGS) on biobanked peripheral blood DNA. The impact of comorbidities was assessed via DIPSS-adjusted overall survival using Bonferroni correction. Comorbidities associated with inferior survival include renal failure/dysfunction (hazard ratio [HR] 4.3; 95% CI 2.1-8.9; p = 0.0001), intracranial hemorrhage (HR 28.7; 95% CI 7.0-116.8; p=2.83e-06), invasive fungal infection (HR 41.2; 95% CI 7.2-235.2; p=2.90e-05), chronic encephalopathy (HR 15.1; 95% CI 3.8-59.4; p=0.0001). The extended DIPSS model including all four significant comorbidities showed a significantly higher discriminating power (C-index 0.81; 95% CI 0.78-0.84) than the original DIPSS model (C-index 0.73; 95% CI 0.70-0.77). In summary, we repurposed an institutional biobank to identify and risk-classify an uncommon hematologic malignancy by established (e.g., DIPSS) and other clinical and pathologic factors (e.g., comorbidities) in an unbiased fashion. The inclusion of comorbidities into risk evaluation may augment prognostic capability of future genetics-based scoring systems.
Background:Treatment decisions in primary myelofibrosis (PMF) are guided by several prognostic systems based on disease-specific risk factors, including complete blood counts and cytogenetics. Patient specific comorbidities, e.g. non-hematopoietic organ dysfunction, are not incorporated into current prognostic models. Likewise, PMF risk stratification has not yet integrated large scale electronic health record (EHR) clinical data to refine these scoring systems. We have identified a PMF cohort within the Synthetic Derivative (SD), a de-identified, research-dedicated mirror of the EHR at Vanderbilt University Medical Center that contains 2.9 million individual records with 148 million ICD codes, and 125 million clinical notes. As a proof of concept, we leveraged the SD to develop a PMF cohort. We then aimed to identify novel patient specific comorbidities that may be associated with reduced overall survival (OS) in PMF via a phenome-wide association (PheWAS) study. Methods:We interrogated the SD for PMF via an algorithm that relied on ICD codes, natural language processing of physician notes, and medication history to identify high probability cases. Confirmation of PMF was based on strict hematologist review using 2016 WHO criteria. To this end, only patients with accessible hematopathology reports and cytogenetics, and more than 1 visit to the institution were enrolled. Patients with transformation to AML at presentation (e.g. within 30 days) were excluded. To evaluate each patient's overall comorbidity burden, we interrogated patient phecodes, which are grouped ICD9 codes shown to better mimic clinical phenotypes (PMID 20335276). Specifically, we extracted all ICD9 codes within 360 days of PMF diagnosis or referral and converted them to phecodes using the map available at https://phewascatalog.org/phecodes. PMF disease-related phecodes or codes that corresponded to DIPSS dependent variables were excluded. We identified 375 phecodes at PMF diagnosis, and conducted a PheWAS study to test the association of each phecode with survival. Survival was calculated as the interval between PMF diagnosis or referral and death or last follow-up (censor); patients who underwent hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) or transformed to AML were censored at that respective date. Survival from PMF diagnosis was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. We utilized the Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for the DIPSS predictors and evaluated the association of each comorbidity with the overall survival and reported those that are statistically significant after multiple testing adjustment (Bonferroni corrected P<0.00013). Results:We identified 193 cases of PMF from 1995-2016 that met strict pathology inclusion criteria. PMF median age of diagnosis was 59 (range 24-87), 42% were female, and 35 patients were referred greater than one year after diagnosis. Median OS was 39 months (range 1-265), with 23 patients developing AML and 40 patients treated with HSCT. Comorbidity analysis adjusted for DIPSS factors revealed five phecodes associated with reduced OS with Bonferroni correction (Figure 1); intracranial hemorrhage (HR 28.7; 95% CI 7-116; P=2.83E-06) invasive fungal infection (HR 41.1; 95% CI 7-235; P=2.90E-05), cerebral degeneration or hydrocephalus (HR 15.1; 95% CI 3-60;P=8.56E-05), encephalopathy or coma (HR 15; 95% CI 3-59; P=0.0001) and renal failure (HR 4; 95% CI 2-8; P=0.0001). Within the renal failure cohort, uric acid levels within 12 months of PMF diagnosis were elevated (N=18, mean 9.3 mg/dl) compared to the remaining PMF cases (N=132; mean 7.6 mg/dl) P=0.016. An additional 21 patient specific comorbidity patterns noted near Bonferroni cutoff (P<0.01), with highlights including pulmonary congestion (HR 6; 95% CI 1.7-21), pulmonary heart disease (HR 5.9; 95% CI 0.6-58), cardiomyopathy (HR 5; 95% CI 1.3-19), congestive heart failure (HR 4.3; 95% CI 1.3-14), and pneumonia (HR 3.3; 95% CI 1.4-7). Summary:We successfully leveraged our PMF cohort to identify potential high risk patient-specific comorbidities not included in current risk models. In addition, we illustrated the capacity to use these techniques to identify potential clinical intervention (e.g. chronic hyperuricemia and its impact on renal function). This study demonstrates the potential to refine prognostication and treatment decisions via EHR data to study large populations of rare myeloid disease. Disclosures Savona: Celgene Corporation: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Incyte Corporation: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Karyopharm Therapeutics: Consultancy, Equity Ownership, Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Selvita: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Takeda: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding; Boehringer Ingelheim: Patents & Royalties; AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Sunesis: Research Funding; TG Therapeutics: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Research Funding.
The Simons ordinal risk score can be useful in assessing postoperative morbidity among hepatectomy patients.
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