The goal of this study was to evaluate serial cytomegalovirus (CMV) blood culture, antigenemia testing, and qualitative and quantitative plasma CMV PCR for their ability to predict CMV disease and thus to direct preemptive therapy after lung transplantation. Forty-one patients provided 414 samples for blood culture, 290 samples for antigenemia testing, and 432 samples for PCR. Seven patients developed 11 episodes of CMV disease. CMV PCR had sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive and negative predictive values of 79, 99, 84, and 99%, respectively, compared with 48, 99, 85, and 98%, respectively, for antigenemia testing, and 8, 100, 100, and 97%, respectively, for culture. Only quantitative CMV PCR correlated with disease stage: asymptomatic patients had a mean of 1,500 CMV DNA copies/ml, whereas patients who developed CMV disease had 5,087 copies/ml 12 to 4 weeks before symptoms and 32,000 copies/ml at diagnosis. Furthermore, CMV PCR-measured DNA increased 5- to 10-fold immediately preceding symptoms. PCR and antigenemia test values decreased with anti-CMV therapy. CMV DNA (as detected by PCR), but not antigenemia, persisted in patients who later developed recurrent CMV disease. The data indicate that lung transplant recipients will benefit from monitoring of CMV disease by plasma CMV PCR.
