BACKGROUND Liver injury in patients with dengue infection is common. Most patients have mild and transient hepatitis. Acute liver failure (ALF) in dengue infection is rare but results in an extremely poor prognosis. AIM To identify prognostic predictors of ALF and death in patients with dengue-induced severe hepatitis (DISH). METHODS We retrospectively reviewed 2311 serologically confirmed adolescent and adult dengue patients who were hospitalized during a 12-year study period (between 2007 and 2019) at the university hospital of King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand. Patients with DISH [ n = 134 (5.80%)], defined as a baseline transaminase > 10 times the normal reference cut-off level, and DISH with subsequent ALF as defined by the American Association for the Study of the Liver Diseases 2011 criteria [ n = 17 (0.74%)], were included. Predictors of ALF and in-hospital death were identified using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS Of the 151 dengue-infected patients with severe liver injury or ALF, 51% were female, with a mean age of 27.9 ± 14.5 years. Capillary leakage syndrome (CLS) occurred in 68.2% ( n = 103) of DISH and 100% of ALF patients. The mortality rate was low in DISH patients (0.8%) but was remarkably high if ALF developed (58.8%). In univariate analysis, age, sex, hematocrit, white blood count, atypical lymphocyte count, platelet count, international normalized ratio (INR), bilirubin, serum glutamate-oxaloacetate transaminase, serum glutamate-pyruvate transaminase, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, creatinine, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, presence of liver comorbidity and presence of CLS were identified as potential prognostic parameters for ALF or death. In multivariate analysis, the MELD score remained the only predictor of ALF with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 1.3 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-1.5; P = < 0.001]. An initial MELD score ≥ 15 was associated with ALF from DISH with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.91, 88.2% sensitivity and 87.3% specificity. Regarding mortality prediction, the deterioration of liver function to ALF was the most significant factor related to death in DISH patients (aOR 108.5, 95%CI: 5.5-2145.4, P = 0.002). Other independent factors associated with death included baseline INR (aOR 10.4, 95%CI: 2.6-40.5, P = 0.001). An INR ≥ 1.5 predicted death from DISH with an AUROC of 0.83 (81.8% sensitivity and 86.8% specificity). CONCLUSION The MELD score is the best predictor of ALF in DISH patients, a complication from dengue that is associated with high mortality. The presence of ALF and the baseline INR level are independent markers of death in DISH patients.

Background: Chronic exposure to lead causes lead to accumulate mainly in the liver. In vivo studies have shown that lead toxicity is related to alterations in the inflammatory response. We aimed to evaluate the association between lead poisoning and liver fibrosis as well as the change in the degree of liver fibrosis, levels of inflammatory mediators and glutathione (GSH) after chelation therapy. Methods: Workers from a battery factory who were exposed to lead for > 12 months and had a blood lead level (BLL) > 70 μg/dL were enrolled (n = 86) in the study. Participants underwent chelation therapy with intravenous CaNa 2 EDTA for 2 days followed by treatment with oral D-penicillamine for 90 days. The primary outcome was the change in the degree of liver fibrosis, which was presented as liver stiffness (LS) measured by FibroScan®. Secondary outcomes were the changes in the levels of serum GSH and inflammatory mediators such as tumor necrosis factoralpha (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) after chelation therapy. Results: Among the 86 participants, there was a positive correlation between the duration of lead exposure and LS (r = 0.249, p = 0.021). To avoid the confounding effect of obesity-related steatosis, only 70 individuals who had controlled attenuation parameters < 296 dB/m, BMI < 25 kg/m 2 and normal waist circumference were included in the interventional analysis. After chelation, the mean LS significantly decreased from 5.4 ± 0.9 to 4.8 ± 1.4 kPa (p = 0.001). Similarly, all of the inflammatory cytokines studied significantly decreased after chelation (p < 0.001); TNF-α decreased from 371.6 ± 211.3 to 215.8 ± 142.7; the levels of IL-1β decreased from 29.8 ± 1.7 to 25.9 ± 4.3; and the levels of IL-6 decreased from 46.8 ± 10.2 to 35.0 ± 11.9. On the other hand, the mean GSH level increased significantly from 3.3 ± 3.3 to 13.1 ± 3.7 (p < 0.001) after chelation therapy. Conclusion: The duration of lead exposure was significantly correlated with the degree of liver fibrosis. Chelation treatment was associated with increased levels of GSH and decreased levels of proinflammatory cytokines and could potentially reduce the degree of LS.

Author contribution: Sakkarin Chirapongsathorn contributed to the review of data for eligibility, evaluation of quality and data extraction; writing the manuscript, data analysis, authorship. Tongluk Teerasarntipan contributed to the review of data for eligibility and data extraction, evaluation of quality. Krit Tipchaichatta contributed to the review of data for eligibility and data extraction, drafting the manuscript. Tanita Suttichaimongkol, Naichaya Chamroonkul, Chalermrat Bunchorntavakul, Sith Siramolpiwat, Siwaporn Chainuvati, Abhasnee Sobhonslidsuk, and Apinya Leerapun contributed to the data extraction. Teerha Piratvisuth, Wattana Sukeepaisarnjaroen, and Tawesak Tanwandee contributed to the supervising and study concept.

Background and aims Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is considered a main prognostic event in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). We analyzed the 28-day and 90-day mortality in ACLF patients with or without underlying cirrhosis enrolled in the ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) database. Methods A total of 1,621 patients were prospectively enrolled and 637 (39.3%) of these patients had cirrhosis. Baseline characteristics, complications and mortality were compared between patients with and without cirrhosis. Results Alcohol consumption was more common in cirrhosis than non-cirrhosis (66.4% vs. 44.2%, p < 0.0001), while non-alcoholic fatty liver disease/cryptogenic CLD (10.9% vs 5.8%, p < 0.0001) and chronic HBV reactivation (18.8% vs 11.8%, p < 0.0001) were more common in non-cirrhosis. Only 0.8% of patients underwent liver transplantation. Overall, 28-day and 90-day mortality rates were 39.3% and 49.9%, respectively. Patients with cirrhosis had a greater chance of survival compared to those without cirrhosis both at 28-day (HR = 0.48; 95% CI 0.36–0.63, p < 0.0001) and 90-day (HR = 0.56; 95% CI 0.43–0.72, p < 0.0001), respectively. In alcohol CLD, non-cirrhosis patients had a higher 28-day (49.9% vs. 23.6%, p < 0.001) and 90-day (58.4% vs. 35.2%, p < 0.001) mortality rate than cirrhosis patients. ACLF patients with cirrhosis had longer mean survival than non-cirrhosis patients (25.5 vs. 18.8 days at 28-day and 65.2 vs. 41.2 days at 90-day). Exaggerated systemic inflammation might be the reason why non-cirrhosis patients had a poorer prognosis than those with cirrhosis after ACLF had occurred. Conclusions The 28-day and 90-day mortality rates of ACLF patients without cirrhosis were significantly higher than those with cirrhosis in alcoholic CLD. The presence of cirrhosis and its stage should be evaluated at baseline to guide for management. Thai Clinical Trials Registry, TCTR20191226002.