The sustainability of artificial sand-binding vegetation is determined by the water balance between evapotranspiration (ET) and precipitation in desert regions. Consequently, accurately estimating ET is a critical prerequisite for determing the types and spatial distribution of artificial vegetation in different sandy areas. For this purpose, a novel hybrid estimation model was proposed to estimate monthly ET by coupling the deep learning long short term memory (LSTM) with variational mode decomposition (VMD) and whale optimization algorithm (WOA) (i.e., VMD-WOA-LSTM) to estimate the monthly ET in the southeast margins of Tengger Desert. The superiority of LSTM was selected due to its capability of automatically extracting the nonlinear and nonstationary features from sequential data, WOA was employed to optimize the hyperparameters of LSTM, and VMD was used to extract the intrinsic traits of ET time series. The estimating results of VMD-WOA-LSTM has been compared with actual ET and estimation of other hybrid models in terms of standard performance metrics. The results reveale that VMD-WOA-LSTM provide more accurate and reliable estimating results than that of LSTM, the support vector machine (SVM), and the variants of those models. Therefore, VMD-WOA-LSTM could be recommended as an essential auxiliary method to estimate ET in desert regions.
Wind power has the most potential for clean and renewable energy development. Wind power not only effectively solves the problem of energy shortages, but also reduces air pollution. In recent years, wind speed time series analyses have increasingly become a concern of administrators and power grid dispatchers searching for a reasonable way to reduce the operating cost of wind farms. However, analyzing wind speed in detail has become a difficult task, because the traditional models sometimes fail to capture data features due to the randomness and intermittency of wind speed. In order to analyze wind speed series in detail, in this paper, an effective and practical analysis system is studied and developed, which includes a data analysis module, a data preprocessing module, a parameter optimization module, and a wind speed forecasting module. Numerical results show that the wind time series analysis system can not only assess wind energy resources of a wind farm, but also master future changes of wind speed, and can be an effective tool for wind farm management and decision-making.
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