It is conventional wisdom in machine learning and data mining that logical models such as rule sets are more interpretable than other models, and that among such rule-based models, simpler models are more interpretable than more complex ones. In this position paper, we question this latter assumption by focusing on one particular aspect of interpretability, namely the plausibility of models. Roughly speaking, we equate the plausibility of a model with the likeliness that a user accepts it as an explanation for a prediction. In particular, we argue that-all other things being equal-longer explanations may be more convincing than shorter ones, and that the predominant bias for shorter models, which is typically necessary for learning powerful discriminative models, may not be suitable when it comes to user acceptance of the learned models. To that end, we first recapitulate evidence for and against this postulate, and then report the results of an evaluation in a crowdsourcing study based on about 3,000 judgments. The results do not reveal a strong preference for simple rules, whereas we can observe a weak preference for longer rules in some domains. We then relate these results to well-known cognitive biases such as the conjunction fallacy, the representative heuristic, or the recogition heuristic, and investigate their relation to rule length and plausibility.
We present a framework for efficiently exploiting free-text annotations as a complementary resource to image classification. A novel approach called Semantic Concept Mapping (SCM) is used to classify entities occurring in the text to a custom-defined set of concepts. SCM performs unsupervised classification by exploiting the relations between common entities codified in the Wordnet thesaurus. SCM exploits Targeted Hypernym Discovery (THD) to map unknown entities extracted from the text to concepts in Wordnet. We show how the result of SCM/THD can be fused with the outcome of Knowledge Assisted Image Analysis (KAA), a classification algorithm that extracts and labels multiple segments from an image. In the experimental evaluation, THD achieved an accuracy of 75%, and SCM an accuracy of 52%. In one of the first experiments with fusing the results of a free-text and image-content classifier, SCM/THD + KAA achieved a relative improvement of 49% and 31% over the text-only and image-content-only baselines.
The motivation of this paper is to increase the user perceived precision of results of Content Based Information Retrieval (CBIR) systems with Query Refinement (QR), Visual Analysis (VA) and Relevance Feedback (RF) algorithms. The proposed algorithms were implemented as modules into K-Space CBIR system. The QR module discovers hypernyms for the given query from a free text corpus (Wikipedia) and uses these hypernyms as refinements for the original query. Extracting hypernyms from Wikipedia makes it possible to apply query refinement to more queries than in related approaches that use static predefined thesaurus such as Wordnet. The VA Module uses the K-Means algorithm for clustering the images based on low-level features. The RF Module uses the preference information expressed by the user to build user profiles by applying SOM-based supervised classification, which is further optimized by a hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm. The experiments evaluating the performance of QR and VA modules show promising results.
Multiple studies have investigated bibliometric factors predictive of the citation count a research article will receive. In this article, we go beyond bibliometric data by using a range of machine learning techniques to find patterns predictive of citation count using both article content and available metadata. As the input collection, we use the CORD-19 corpus containing research articles—mostly from biology and medicine—applicable to the COVID-19 crisis. Our study employs a combination of state-of-the-art machine learning techniques for text understanding, including embeddings-based language model BERT, several systems for detection and semantic expansion of entities: ConceptNet, Pubtator and ScispaCy. To interpret the resulting models, we use several explanation algorithms: random forest feature importance, LIME, and Shapley values. We compare the performance and comprehensibility of models obtained by “black-box” machine learning algorithms (neural networks and random forests) with models built with rule learning (CORELS, CBA), which are intrinsically explainable. Multiple rules were discovered, which referred to biomedical entities of potential interest. Of the rules with the highest lift measure, several rules pointed to dipeptidyl peptidase4 (DPP4), a known MERS-CoV receptor and a critical determinant of camel to human transmission of the camel coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Some other interesting patterns related to the type of animal investigated were found. Articles referring to bats and camels tend to draw citations, while articles referring to most other animal species related to coronavirus are lowly cited. Bat coronavirus is the only other virus from a non-human species in the betaB clade along with the SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 viruses. MERS-CoV is in a sister betaC clade, also close to human SARS coronaviruses. Thus both species linked to high citation counts harbor coronaviruses which are more phylogenetically similar to human SARS viruses. On the other hand, feline (FIPV, FCOV) and canine coronaviruses (CCOV) are in the alpha coronavirus clade and more distant from the betaB clade with human SARS viruses. Other results include detection of apparent citation bias favouring authors with western sounding names. Equal performance of TF-IDF weights and binary word incidence matrix was observed, with the latter resulting in better interpretability. The best predictive performance was obtained with a “black-box” method—neural network. The rule-based models led to most insights, especially when coupled with text representation using semantic entity detection methods. Follow-up work should focus on the analysis of citation patterns in the context of phylogenetic trees, as well on patterns referring to DPP4, which is currently considered as a SARS-Cov-2 therapeutic target.
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