Curah hujan sebagai bentuk informasi dari data meteorologis, penting dalam segala kegiatan manusia yang berhubungan dengan alam, oleh karena itu prediksi atas curah hujan dengan hasil yang akurat merupakan hal yang sangat penting. Salah satu metode yang digunakan untuk prediksi/klasifikasi curah hujan adalah data mining dengan berbagai algoritma dan parameter data yang berbeda. Pada penelitian ini digunakan penggabungan metode klasifikasi dengan Teknik Ensemble Stacking/Stacked Generalization yang menggunakan Naïve Bayes dan C4.5 sebagai base learner dan KNN sebagai meta learner untuk klasifikasi curah hujan. Dataset yang dipergunakan adalah data klimatologi harian yang diambil dari website resmi BMKG (Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, Dan Geofisika) untuk stasiun UPT Bandung, Bogor, Citeko dan Jatiwangi dari periode 01 Januari 2000 sampai dengan 31 Desember 2018. Dengan menggunakan tiga skenario pengujian dan validasi menggunakan 10 fold cross validation diperoleh bahwa metode stacking dapat meningkatkan akurasi dari base classifier.
Electrical energy is an important foundation in world economic growth, therefore it requires an accurate prediction in predicting energy consumption in the future. The methods that are often used in previous research are the Time Series and Machine Learning methods, but recently there has been a new method that can predict energy consumption using the Deep Learning Method which can process data quickly for training and testing. In this research, the researcher proposes a model and algorithm which contained in Deep Learning, that is Multivariate Time Series Model with LSTM Algorithm and using Teacher Forcing Technique for predicting electrical energy consumption in the future. Because Multivariate Time Series Model and LSTM Algorithm can receive input with various conditions or seasons of electrical energy consumption. Teacher Forcing Technique is able lighten up the computation so that it can training and testing data quickly. The method used in this study is to compare Teacher Forcing LSTM with Non-Teacher Forcing LSTM in Multivariate Time Series model using several activation functions that produce significant differences. TF value of RMSE 0.006, MAE 0.070 and Non-TF has RMSE and MAE values of 0.117 and 0.246. The value of the two models is obtained from Sigmoid Activation and the worst value of the two models is in the Softmax activation function, with TF values is RMSE 0.423, MAE 0.485 and Non-TF RMSE 0.520, MAE 0.519.
Gold is a yellow precious metal that can be forged so it is easy to form with various forms of jewelry such as pendants, earrings, rings, bracelets and others, gold has a high value. Gold itself is an exchange rate used in ancient times before the existence of money as it is today. Gold also can be used as an investment that is profitable for the investor and it has less risks. Investment is a form of fund management to give benefit by putting fund in allocation that is predicted will give additional benetifs. Prediction of gold price movements or predictions of gold price in gold stock investment, this research uses 3 (three) algorithms that will be implemented in analysis and increase accuracy, in the discussion or research that was made using the Naïve Bayes algorithm, Support Vector Machine and K-Nearest Neighbor, the dataset is obtained from the website, namely www.finance.yahoo.com the data was then tested using Rapid miner tools so that the average value of the Support Vector Machine algorithm with an accuracy rate of 57.59%, precision 58 ,73% and recall 51,78%. The next is the Naïve Bayes algorithm so that it is known to have an accuracy rate of 55.59%, precision 54.55% and recall 51.70%. Based on the comparison of the three algorithms, it is known that the one with the best accuracy, precision, and recall is the K-NN algorithm with 61.90% accuracy, 60.98% precision, and 60.35% recall. Furthermore, the results of testing the K-Nearst Neighbor algorithm have good results compared to the 3 (three) other algorithm tests and the Naïve Bayes algorithm testing has a low level of accuracy, namely 55.59%, precision 54.55% and recall 51.70%. The research uses 3 algorithms, namely naive bayes, K-nearst neighbor and Support Vector Machine, because the three algorithms are well-established algorithms to be applied to research, especially in time series gold price research and are very good, especially for classification
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