As a key component of the transmission system of high-speed trains, the reliability of gearbox is crucial to the overall reliability and driving safety of high-speed trains. In this work, a comprehensive reliability model for the key parts of the gearbox including the driving and driven gears, bearings, and gearbox housing is developed, which combines the strength degradation parameters obtained by P-S-N curves of the corresponding material, and a stress-strength interference model based on the Poisson distribution of random stress and the Wiener strength degradation process. Further, a nested Copula function reliability model of the gearbox series system is developed using the binary Frank Copula function considering the correlation of failures of different parts and different failure modes. This model realizes the dynamic reliability analysis of the gearbox under different failure modes. The reliability analysis of the key parts of the gearbox and the gearbox series system of high-speed train achieved with this model are in line with the engineering practice. This method enables dynamic tracking and monitoring of gearbox reliability during the service life of high-speed train.
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