The opportunity for the euro's introduction in Romania and Hungary After 2004, more than half of the 13 countries that joined the EU, 7 have already joined the eurozone, too, while 6 countries, including Romania and Hungary, the subject of our research have not yet to join. Moreover, apart from some press releases it does not even seen when Prage, Warsaw, Zagreb and Sofia beside Budapest and Bucharest enter the ERM-II system, which is considered the euro hall. Therefore, in our paper, we examine the trade and economic indicators for the two chosen countries that are not included in the Maastricht Convergence Criteria, at the same time we do not think it is possible to set aside them if we want to use the European single currency in the future in a sustainable way. We prepesent our work as a thought-provoking, and we would like to contribute with our analysis to the possible biggest domestic macroeconomic changes in the next decade. In our view, only the smallest challenge is the introduction of the euro from the perspective of the real economy. Greater efforts will be made by sustainable economic development in the euro area.
Az euró bevezetésének lehetősége Romániában és Magyarországon The possibility of euro adoption in the case of Romania and Hungary A 2004 után az EU-ba belépett 13 tagállam több mint a fele, 7 ország már csatlakozott az euróövezethez, míg 6-an, köztük dolgozatunk vizsgálatának tárgyát képező Románia és Magyarország még nem. Sőt néhány sajtóhírtől eltekintve egyelőre még nem látható, hogy Budapest és Bukarest mellett Prága, Varsó, Zágráb és Szófia mikor lép be az euró előszobájának is tekinthető ERM-II rendszerbe. Éppen ezért dolgozatunkban azokat a kereskedelmi, illetve gazdasági mutatókat is vizsgáljuk a választott két ország estében, amelyek nem tartoznak a maastrichti kritériumok közé, ugyanakkor megítélésünk szerint nem lehet tőlük eltekinteni, amennyiben fenntartható módon akarjuk használni az európai egységes valutát a jövőben. Munkánkat gondolatébresztőnek is szánjuk a következő évtized várhatóan legnagyobb hazai makrogazdasági változásának kapcsán. Meglátásunk szerint ugyanis az euró bevezetése csupán a kisebbik kihívás, a nagyobb erőfeszítést a fenntartható tagsági státusz jelenti majd. In the case of countries joining since 2004 to the EU, 7 member states out of 13 are already part of the eurozone, while Romania and Hungary are not. Apart from a few media comments, currently it is not visible when Prague, Sofia, Warsaw and Zagreb are planning to join to the European Exchange Rate Mechanism as an introduction to the monetary union. This paper examines the euro convergence criteria in case of Romania and Hungary and also further trade and economic figures as we consider them essential in order to use the common currency in a sustainable way. We dedicate our findings as a thought-provoking initiative regarding one of the most significant macroeconomical change of the upcoming decade. According to our understanding the adoption of the euro is the minor challenge as more effort should be taken in order to maintain the membership in the future.
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