How have house prices evolved in the long-run? This paper presents annual house price indices for 14 advanced economies since 1870. Based on extensive data collection, we are able to show for the first time that house prices in most industrial economies stayed constant in real terms from the 19th to the mid-20th century, but rose sharply in recent decades. Land prices, not construction costs, hold the key to understanding the trajectory of house prices in the long-run. Residential land prices have surged in the second half of the 20th century, but did not increase meaningfully before. We argue that before World War II dramatic reductions in transport costs expanded the supply of land and suppressed land prices. Since the mid-20th century, comparably large land-augmenting reductions in transport costs no longer occurred. Increased regulations on land use further inhibited the utilization of additional land, while rising expenditure shares for housing services increased demand.
We propose the relaxation algorithm as a simple and powerful method for simulating the transition process in growth models. This method has a number of important advantages: (1) It can easily deal with a wide range of dynamic systems including multi-dimensional systems with stable eigenvalues that differ drastically in magnitude. (2) The application of the procedure is fairly user friendly. The only input required consists of the dynamic system. (3) The variant of the relaxation algorithm we propose exploits in a natural manner the infinite time horizon, which usually underlies optimal control problems in economics. Overall, it seems that the relaxation procedure can easily cope with a large number of problems which arise frequently in the context of macroeconomic dynamic models. As an illustrative application, we simulate the transition process of the well-known Jones (1995) model. JEL classification: C61; C63; O40
Does international financial integration boost economic growth? The empirical literature has not yet established a robust link between openness to the international capital market and economic growth. In this paper, we turn to the economic history of the first era of financial globalization (1880-1914) for new insights. Using identical empirical models and techniques as contemporary studies, we find a significant growth effect in the historical period. A key difference between now and then is that opening up to the international market led to net capital movements and higher investment in the historical period, but it no longer does so today. (c) 2010 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Metaphors are often unconscious and taken-for-granted parts of our daily life and common communication. This article deals with the explorative and descriptive aspects of metaphors used in organizational settings. I introduce a three-step metaphor analysis including several particular tools that focus on the specific metaphor meaning. Two case studies of East German managers' narratives will demonstrate how metaphors can help us better understand highly emotional contexts and complex situations within organizations.
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