Based on our experience in the project REAKT, we present a methodological framework to evaluate the potential benefits and costs of using Earthquake Early Warning (EEW) and Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) for real-time mitigation of seismic risk at nuclear facilities. We focus on evaluating the reliability, significance and usefulness of the aforementioned real-time risk-mitigation tools and on the communication of real-time earthquake information to end-users. We find that EEW and OEF have significant potential for the reduction of seismic risk at nuclear plants, although much scientific research and testing is still necessary to optimise their operation for these sensitive and highly-regulated facilities. While our test bed was Switzerland, the methodology presented here is of general interest to the community of EEW researchers and end-users and its scope is significantly beyond its specific application within REAKT
11Earthquake early warning systems (EEWSs) that rapidly trigger risk-reduction actions after a 12 potentially-damaging earthquake is detected are an attractive tool to reduce seismic losses. One 13 brake on their implementation in practice is the difficulty in setting the threshold required to trigger 14 pre-defined actions: set the level too high and the action is not triggered before potentially-15 damaging shaking occurs and set the level too low and the action is triggered too readily. Balancing 16 these conflicting requirements of an EEWS requires a consideration of the preferences of its 17 potential end users. In this article a framework to define these preferences, as part of a participatory 18 decision making procedure, is presented. An aspect of this framework is illustrated for a hypothetical 19 toll bridge in a seismically-active region, where the bridge owners wish to balance the risk to people 20 crossing the bridge with the loss of toll revenue and additional travel costs in case of bridge closure. 21Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) is used to constrain the trigger threshold for four owners with 22 different preferences. We find that MAUT is an appealing and transparent way of aiding the 23 potentially controversial decision of what level of risk to accept in EEW. 24
A prerequisite to the wide deployment at an industrial scale of CO 2 geological storage is demonstrating that potential risks can be efficiently managed. Corrective measures in case of significant irregularities, such as CO 2 leakage, are hence required as
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