Cancer-associated muscle wasting is associated with reduction in functional status, in response to treatment and in life expectancy. Methods currently used to assess muscle loss involve diagnostic imaging techniques such as computed tomography (CT), which are costly, inconvenient, invasive, time consuming and have limited ability to detect early or slowly evolving wasting. We present a novel approach using single time-point urinary metabolite profiles to determine whether a patient is experiencing muscle wasting. We analyzed 93 random urine samples from patients with cancer using 1 H-NMR. Using two successive CT images we assessed their lumbar skeletal muscle area (cm 2 ) to estimate the rate of muscle change (% loss or gain over time) for each patient. The average muscle change over time was -4.71%/100 days in the muscle-losing group and ?3.91%/100 days in the comparator group. Bivariate statistics identified metabolites related with muscle loss, including constituents and metabolites of muscle (creatine, creatinine, 3-OH-isovalerate), amino acids (Leu, Ile, Val, Ala, Thr, Tyr, Gln, Ser) and intermediary metabolites. We also applied machinelearning techniques to identify patterns of urinary metabolites that identify which patients are likely to lose muscle mass. We evaluated the predictive performance of 8 machine-learning approaches using fivefold cross validation and permutation testing, and found that SVM provided the best generalization accuracy (82.2%). These results suggest that 1 H-NMR analysis of a single random urine sample may be a fast, cheap, safe and inexpensive tool to screen and monitor muscle loss, and that useful classifiers for predicting related metabolic conditions are possible with the methodology presented.
Urine and plasma metabolites originate from endogenous metabolic pathways in different organs and exogenous sources (diet). Urine and plasma were obtained from advanced cancer patients and investigated to determine if variations in lean and fat mass, dietary intake, and energy metabolism relate to variation in metabolite profiles. Patients (n = 55) recorded their diets for 3 d and after an overnight fast they were evaluated by DXA and indirect calorimetry. Metabolites were measured by NMR and direct injection MS. Three algorithms were used [partial least squares discriminant-analysis, support vector machines (SVM), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator] to relate patients' plasma/urine metabolic profile with their dietary/physiological assessments. Leave-one-out cross-validation and permutation testing were conducted to determine statistical validity. None of the algorithms, using 63 urine metabolites, could learn to predict variations in individual's resting energy expenditure, respiratory quotient, or their intake of total energy, fat, sugar, or carbohydrate. Urine metabolites predicted appendicular lean tissue (skeletal muscle) with excellent cross-validation accuracy (98% using SVM). Total lean tissue correlated highly with appendicular muscle (Pearson r = 0.98; P < 0.0001) and gave similar cross-validation accuracies. Fat mass was effectively predicted using the 63 urine metabolites or the 143 plasma metabolites, exclusively. In conclusion, in this population, lean and fat mass variation could be effectively predicted using urinary metabolites, suggesting a potential role for metabolomics in body composition research. Furthermore, variation in lean and fat mass potentially confounds metabolomic studies attempting to characterize diet or disease conditions. Future studies should account or correct for such variation.
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