This cohort study investigates the use of longitudinal data from ultradeep sequencing of cell-free DNA in Danish patients with colorectal cancer.

Statement of translational relevanceSensitive methods for recurrence risk stratification, monitoring therapeutic efficacy, and early recurrence detection may have a major impact on treatment decisions and outcomes for stage III colorectal cancer patients. Circulating tumor DNA assessments performed postoperative, postadjuvant, and serially during surveillance all allowed stratification of patients into high and low risk groups. CtDNA detected recurrence with a significant leadtime compared to CT-imaging and ctDNA growth rates were prognostic of survival.Treatment of ctDNA positive patients with standard adjuvant therapy prevented recurrence in only 20% of patients. Accordingly, further studies exploring the optimal treatment for ctDNA positive patients are needed, as well as interventional studies assessing the clinical utility of ctDNA-based risk-stratification. A promising opportunity is risk-stratified allocation of surveillance resources, which may improve both the cost-effectiveness and the overall clinical outcome of surveillance. Finally, ctDNA growth rates may identify patients who could benefit from immediate therapeutic intervention compared to awaiting recurrence.Research.

Detection of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) post-treatment is an emerging marker of residual disease. ctDNA constitutes only a minor fraction of the cell-free DNA (cfDNA) circulating in cancer patients, complicating ctDNA detection. This is exacerbated by trauma-induced cfDNA. To guide optimal blood sample timing, we investigated the duration and magnitude of surgical trauma-induced cfDNA in patients with colorectal or bladder cancer. DNA levels were quantified in paired plasma samples collected before and up to 6 weeks after surgery from 436 patients with colorectal cancer and 47 patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer. To assess whether trauma-induced cfDNA fragments are longer than ordinary cfDNA fragments, the concentration of short (< 1 kb) and long (> 1 kb) fragments was determined for 91 patients. Previously reported ctDNA data from 91 patients with colorectal cancer and 47 patients with bladder cancer were used to assess how trauma-induced DNA affects ctDNA detection. The total cfDNA level increased postoperatively-both in patients with colorectal cancer (mean threefold) and bladder cancer (mean eightfold). The DNA levels were significantly increased up to 4 weeks after surgery in both patient cohorts (P = 0.0005 and P ≤ 0.0001). The concentration of short, but not long, cfDNA fragments increased postoperatively. Of 25 patients with radiological relapse, eight were ctDNA-positive and 17 were ctDNA-negative in the period with trauma-induced DNA. Analysis of longitudinal samples revealed that five of the negative patients became positive shortly after the release of trauma-induced cfDNA had ceased. In conclusion, surgery was associated with elevated cfDNA levels, persisting up to 4 weeks, which may have masked ctDNA in relapse patients. Trauma-induced cfDNA was of similar size to ordinary cfDNA. To mitigate the impact of trauma-induced cfDNA on ctDNA detection, it is recommended that a second blood sample collected after week 4 is analyzed for patients initially ctDNA negative.

Nearly 50% of patients recur within two years after curatively intended resection of colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM). The optimal surveillance strategy is unknown due to the lack of evidence. Here, we explored the potential for improving postoperative CRLM surveillance by performing serial circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) assessments parallel to standard-of-care surveillance. Experimental design: 499 prospectively collected serial plasma samples from 96 patients undergoing CRLM resection were analysed using the tumour-agnostic methylation multiplex droplet-digital PCR test 'TriMeth'. Results: Patients with ctDNA postoperatively or post adjuvant chemotherapy experienced a significant lower recurrence-free survival than patients without ctDNA (hazard ratio (HR)

The recurrence rate of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) patients treated with curative intent is above 50%. Standard of care surveillance includes intensive computed tomographic (CT) imaging as well as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) measurements. Nonetheless, relapse detection often happens too late to resume curative treatment. This longitudinal cohort study enrolled 115 patients with plasma samples (N = 439) prospectively collected before surgery, postoperatively at day 30 and every third month for up to 3 years. Droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) was used to monitor serial plasma samples for somatic mutations. Assessment of ctDNA status either immediately after surgery, or serially during surveillance, stratified the patients into groups of high and low recurrence risk (hazard ratio [HR], 7.6; 95% CI, 3.0‐19.7; P < .0001; and HR, 4.3; 95% CI, 2.3‐8.1; P < .0001, respectively). The positive predictive value (PPV) of ctDNA was 100% in all postoperative analyses. In multivariable analyses, postoperative ctDNA status was the only consistently significant risk marker associated with relapse (P < .0001). Indeterminate CT findings were observed for 30.8% (21/68) of patients. All patients (9/21) that were ctDNA positive at the time of the indeterminate CT scan later relapsed, contrasting 42.6% (5/12) of those ctDNA negative (P = .0046). Recurrence diagnoses in patients with indeterminate CT findings were delayed (median 2.8 months, P < .0001). ctDNA status is strongly associated with detection of minimal residual disease and early detection of relapse. Furthermore, ctDNA status can potentially contribute to clinical decision‐making in case of indeterminate CT findings, reducing time‐to‐intervention.

11 Background: Timely detection of recurrence, as well as identification of patients at high risk of recurrence after surgery and after completion of adjuvant therapy, are major challenges in the treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC). Postsurgical circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis is a promising tool for the identification of patients with minimal residual disease (MRD) and a high risk of recurrence. The objective of this prospective, multicenter study was to determine whether serial postsurgical ctDNA analysis could identify the patients at high risk of recurrence, provide an assessment of adjuvant therapy efficacy and detect relapse earlier than standard-of-care radiological imaging. Methods: The cohort comprises 265 stage I-III CRC patients, the to-date largest cohort assessed for ctDNA. All patients had the tumor resected and a subset of 62.6% (166 /265) was additionally treated with ACT. Plasma samples (n = 1503) were collected at various time points for a median follow-up of 28.4 months (range: 1.2-51.0 months). Individual tumors and matched germline DNA were whole-exome sequenced and somatic single nucleotide variants (SNVs) were identified. Personalized multiplex PCR assays were designed to track tumor-specific SNVs (Signatera, bespoke mPCR NGS assay) in each patient’s plasma sample. Results: Postoperative ctDNA status prior to ACT was assessed in 218 patients, of which 9.17% (20/218) were identified to be MRD-positive and 75% (15/20) eventually relapsed. The remaining 25% (5/20) of MRD-positive patients that did not relapse, received ACT. In contrast, only 13.6% (27/198) of MRD-negative cases relapsed (HR: 11: 95% CI: 5.7-20; p < 0.001). Longitudinal ctDNA-positive status, post-definitive therapy (n = 202) was associated with a HR of 36 (95% CI: 16-81; p < 0.001). For a subset of 155 patients postoperative CEA and ctDNA measurements were compared, wherein, ctDNA-positive status was found to be significantly associated with RFS (HR, 7.1; 95% CI, 3.4-15; P < 0.001) compared to CEA (HR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.46-3.1; P = 0.73). Serial ctDNA analysis detected MRD up to a median of 8 months (0.56 - 21.6 months) ahead of radiologic relapse. Conclusion: Postoperative ctDNA positive status was associated with markedly reduced RFS compared to CEA. The study also shows that effective therapy can be curative in a portion of MRD-positive patients. In a longitudinal setting, ctDNA analysis predicted the risk of recurrence and is a more reliable biomarker for treatment response monitoring.

No abstract

4009 Background: The clinical utility of tracking circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) as a non-invasive biomarker for detecting minimal residual disease (MRD) and stratifying patients based on their risk of developing relapse has been well established in colorectal cancer (CRC). This study evaluates the detection and longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA in CRC patients pre- and post-operatively, during and after adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT). Methods: The prospective, multicenter cohort study recruited patients (n = 193) diagnosed with resected stage I-III CRC. Plasma samples (n = 1052) were collected at various timepoints with a median follow up of 21.6 months (4.6-38.5 months). Individual tumors and matched germline DNA were whole-exome sequenced and somatic mutations identified. Multiplex PCR assays were designed to 16 tumor-specific single-nucleotide variants to track ctDNA in plasma samples. The study evaluated the relationship between ctDNA status and clinical outcomes including radiologic imaging. Cox regression was used to calculate recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients stratified by ctDNA status postoperatively and post-ACT. Multivariable analysis was performed with all clinical variables. Best model was selected according to Akaike Information Criterion. Results: Pre-operatively ctDNA was detected in 90% (n = 166/185) of the patients. Post-operative ctDNA status prior to ACT was assessed in 152 patients, of which 9.2% (14/152) were identified to be MRD-positive and 78.5% (11/14) eventually relapsed. In contrast, 10.1% (14/138) of MRD-negative cases relapsed (HR: 16.53; 95% CI: 7.19-38.02; p < 0.001). Longitudinal ctDNA-positive status, post-ACT (n = 84) and post definitive therapy (n = 139) was associated with a 27.92 HR (95% CI: 9.16-85.11; p < 0.001) and a 47.52 HR (95% CI: 17.34-130.3.; p < 0.001), respectively. In the multivariable analysis, longitudinal ctDNA status was the only significant prognostic factor associated with RFS (HR: 53.19, 95% CI: 18.87-149.90; p < 0.001). Serial ctDNA analysis detected MRD up to a median of 9.08 months (0.56-16.5 months) ahead of radiologic relapse with a sensitivity of 79.1% and specificity of 99%. Conclusions: Postoperative ctDNA analyses detect patients with high-risk of recurrence, with near 100% specificity. Early detection of MRD and longitudinal monitoring of ctDNA could guide treatment decisions. Intervention trials to assess the clinical benefit of ctDNA use are underway.