The determination of the territorial clusters serves as the target of territorial development policies in order to increase equitable distribution of economic, infrastructure, social and cultural growth throughout East Java. This study aims to determine whether there is a decline in the economic growth gap every year (sigma convergence) and whether there is an acceleration of low economic growth to high economic growth (convergence beta) in the cities and districts of the East Java metropolitan cluster on 2015-2018. This research uses secondary data. The analytical method used in this study is convergence analysis and panel data regression analysis. The results showed that there was no decrease in the economic growth gap every year (sigma convergence) and there was no acceleration of low economic growth to high economic growth (beta convergence) in cities and districts of the East Java metropolitan cluster on 2015-2018. The estimation results of the regression analysis for beta convergence, both absolute and conditional, also show that there is no convergence in cities and districts in the East Java metropolitan cluster in the research year. The HDI and PMTB variables have not been able to encourage convergence of economic growth in cities and regencies in the metropolitan cluster of East Java. .
Tebu sebagai bahan baku industri gula merupakan salah satu komoditas perkebunan yang mempunyai peran strategis dalam perekonomian di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis kontribusi keterkaitan ke depan dan ke belakang komoditas tebu terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Jawa Timur, dan kontribusi dampak pengganda (multiplier effect) yang ditimbulkanya terhadap multiplier output dan pendapatan di Jawa Timur. Metode yang digunakan adalah perhitungan Tabel Input-Output dari data Badan Statistik Nasional tahun 2015. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa budi daya tebu sebagai input antara untuk industri gula yang bersifat hilir, keterkaitannya sangat tinggi. Keberadaan sektor tebu kurang kuat pengaruhnya dalam meningkatkan output pada sektor tebu dan sektor-sektor ekonomi secara keseluruhan. Pengganda pendapatan usaha tani tebu adalah tipe I dan tipe II yang bermakna bahwa sektor tebu cukup besar dalam meningkatkan pendapatan dari usaha tani tebu dan sektor-sektor ekonomi secara keseluruhan.
A B S T R A C T Informasi ArtikelThe existence of the development process in the region indicates that the region seeks to achieve welfare, an indicator to see the success of the development of an area can be seen from the rate of economic growth. Their relationship (dependency) spatially related to each other can affect the economic growth of the region with the surrounding area, so that the necessary spatial econometric approach that can be used in the modeling analysis of economic growth across the region adjacent. Spatial model used is Langgrange Multiplier (LM) comprising Autoregresive Spatial Model (SAR) and Spatial Error Model (SEM) using the OpenGeoda.spatial weighting using Rook contiguity (side intersection). The test results show the spatial effects SAR models used in modeling the economic growth of the district / city in East Java. Analysis of the best model test also showed that the SAR models better than the OLS. Criteria for selecting the best model based on the smallest AIC 98.7394 and R-Squared the largest number of 0.51%. The results of spatial interaction districts / cities in East Java province were high at 0.6180 from vulnerable value of 0 to 1. The impact is seen throughvalue intercept the modelof 14.9219, where the results showed that the spatial aspects affect the rate of economic growth in each districts / cities in East Java. With significant variables on the rate of economic growth is the local revenue with the elasticity of 1.1701, capital expenditures with an elasticity of -2.7149, but for labor variables were not significant influence on the growth rate of the district / city in East Java province.
AbstrakPembangunan harus dilakukan secara terpadu dan berkesinambungan, salah satunya dengan mengarahkan pembangunan pada daerah-daerah yang memiliki tingkat kesejahteraan yang rendah agar masalah tingkat kemiskinan dapat teratasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui besarnya pengaruh jumlah penduduk, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder berupa tingkat kemiskinan, jumlah penduduk, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) pada 10 Kabupaten di Provinsi tingkat kemiskinan tertinggi di Provinsi Jawa Timur tahun 2010-2015. Dengan alat analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa dengan alat analisis data panel jumlah penduduk dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Provinsi Jawa Timur tahun 2010 -2015, sedangkan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Provinsi Jawa Timur tahun 2010 -2015.Kata kunci: Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), Jumlah Penduduk, Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB), Tingkat Kemiskinan. AbstractDevelopment must be done in an integrated and sustainable, one of them with direct development on areas that have a low level of well-being so that the problem of poverty level can be resolved. This research aims to know the magnitude of the influence of population, human development index (HDI) and gross Regional domestic product (GDP) against the level of poverty in East Java province. This study uses secondary data in the form of poverty levels, population, human development index (HDI) and gross Regional domestic product (GDP) in 10 regencies in East Java province which includes the Districts of Sampang, Bangkalan Regency Regency Probolinggo Regency, Sumenep, Pamekasan Regency of Tuban, Bojonegoro, district of Pacitan Regency, the districts of Wonogiri and Lamongan which has the highest rate of poverty in East Java province year 2010-2015. With the analysis tools used is regression of the data panel. The results of this research show that the panel data analysis tools with the population and human development index (HDI) has a negative influence and significantly to the level of poverty in East Java province year 2010 -2015, while Domestic Products (GDP) gross regional influence positively and significantly to the level of poverty in East Java province year 2010 -2015.
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah terdapat kausalitas dan pengaruh variabel infrastruktur transportasi, penanaman modal dalam negeri, financial inclusion terhadap pendapatan daerah regional bruto (PDRB) di Jawa Timur. Jenis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data panel yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan Badan Penanaman Modal (BPM) di 7 kabupaten dan 4 kota Provinsi Jawa Timur dari tahun 2009 hingga 2019. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah metode kausalitas granger dan dilengkapi dengan Panel VECM. Berdasarkan hasil uji kausalitas granger ditemukan bahwa tidak terdapat hubungan antara infrastruktur transportasi dengan PDRB, disisi lain terdapat hubungan kausalitas dua arah antara PMDN dengan PDRB, sedangnkan inklusi keuangan memiliki hubungan kausalitas satu arah dengan PDRB di Jawa Timur. Hasil analisis menggunakan P-VECM menemukan bahwa dalam jangka pendek semua variabel independen tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap PDRB di Jawa Timur, sedangkan dalam jangka panjang variabel PMDN dan inklusi keuangan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDRB Jawa Timur. Dari kedua alat analisis tersebut konsisten menjadikan variable PMDN dan inklusi keuangan berkaitan erat dengan dinamika PDRB Jawa Timur.
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