Background/Aims:The crude frequency of colorectal cancer (CRC) is second to breast cancer in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA). To assess the future burden of CRC in the country, we designed a model that takes into consideration the recent lifestyle pattern and the growth and aging of the population.Methods:We compared CRC statistics for KSA (using data from the National Cancer Registry) with that from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) databases of the United States of America (USA). We used the Joinpoint regression program to identify changes in secular trends, while the GLOBOCAN 2002 software was used to project future incidence and mortality.Results:Between 1994 and 2003, age-standardized rates (ASRs) for CRC in KSA almost doubled, as compared to a nonsignificant decline in USA. Between 2001 and 2003, while the annual percent change (APC) of CRC incidence in the USA showed a nonsignificant decrease in females, APC in Saudi females showed a nonsignificant rise of six percent. On the other hand, the rising incidence among Saudi males, during the years 1999 to 2003, was significant, with an APC of 20.5%. The projection model suggested that the incidence of CRC in KSA could increase fourfold in both genders by the year 2030.Conclusions:In KSA, the present and expected increase in CRC rates is alarming. Pragmatic recommendations to face that challenge are discussed. The present work could serve as a model to study other prevalent types of cancer, particularly in developing countries.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major and often therapeutically frustrating oncological problem. A total of 100 patients with unresectable HCC were recruited and randomized to be treated with either transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) or systemic chemotherapy. Fifty patients were treated with TACE using lipiodol, doxorubicin and cisplatin, while 50 patients were treated with systemic doxorubicin alone. Patients treated with TACE achieved a significantly higher response rate, with partial response achieved in 16 patients (32%) versus five patients (10%) in the chemotherapy arm (P = 0.007). A significantly more favourable tumour response to chemoembolization was found in patients with single lesions (P = 0.02), Child class A (P = 0.007), Okuda stage 1 (P = 0.005) and alpha-feto protein less than 400 ng/mL (P < 0.001). The probability of tumour progression was significantly lower in cases treated with TACE where the median progression free survival was 32 weeks (range, 16-70 weeks) versus 26 weeks (range, 14-54 weeks) for patients treated with systemic chemotherapy (P = 0.03). However, the median overall survival did not differ significantly in cases treated with TACE (38 weeks) compared with those treated with chemotherapy (32 weeks) (P = 0.08), except for patients with serum albumin >3.3 g/dL (60 vs. 36 weeks; P = 0.003). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that a rise of serum albumin by 1 g/dL is associated with a decrease in the risk of death by 33% (95% confidence interval: 0.12-0.94, P = 0.038). Mortality in the chemoembolization arm was due to tumour progression in 18 patients (53%), liver failure in 11 patients (32%) and gastro intestinal tract (GIT) bleeding in 5 patients (15%). Mortality in the chemotherapy arm was due to tumour progression in 23 patients (64%), liver failure in 9 patients (25%) and GIT bleeding in 4 patients (11%). Treatment-related mortality was 4% in the TACE arm versus 0% in the chemotherapy arm. In conclusion, the overall survival benefits of TACE and systemic doxorubicin are similar for patients with unresectable HCC amenable to either treatment. It is crucial to optimize the benefit-risk ratio of TACE. In this setting, serum albumin level is a candidate marker for selection of cases who may benefit from this procedure.

Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease that encompasses several distinct entities with different biological characteristics and clinical behavior. Basal subtype is considered as a prognostically unfavorable subset. The purpose of this study is to compare the clinico-pathological characteristics and outcome of basal vs. luminal A subtype, as approximated by ER, PR, and HER-2. Sixty-four patients with basal breast cancer were matched for age, stage, and year of diagnosis with 64 patients having luminal A disease. Basal tumors were immunohistochemically defined by a lack of expression of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and HER-2, while luminal A cancers were ER+ or PR+, and HER-2-. As compared with luminal A, basal subtype patients had significantly larger primary tumor size, higher percentage of grade III tumor, more tumor that showed lymphovascular invasion, less presence of non-invasive disease, and higher proportion of extranodal extension. There was no statistically significant difference in metastatic sites, pathology type, or in the axillary lymph nodal status. A few patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy--13 and 9 patients in basal and luminal A groups, respectively). The complete pathological response was 20% and 14%, respectively (not significant). At a median follow-up of approximately 2 years, there was no statistically significant difference in the overall survival rate between basal and luminal A patients. Analysis of disease-free survival (DFS) for stage I-III (53 patients in each group) showed that the median DFS for basal patients was 41.4 months (95% CI, 26.5-55.3 months), whereas the DFS for the luminal A patients was not reached (P = 0.014). After adjusting for several significant prognostics variables identified in a univariate analysis, a multivariate conditional logistic regression analysis identified the negative effect of lymphovascular invasion and the favorable influence of the use of neoadjuvant and/or adjuvant chemotherapy. This matched case-control study confirmed the poor clinical and pathological characteristics of patients with basal subtype and their unfavorable outcome compared with luminal A disease. Management of basal tumors remains a challenging task, and new therapeutic strategies are warranted.

Breast cancer is by far the most common cancer in women worldwide and the main cause of cancer-related mortality. Breast cancer accounts for 38% of all malignancies among Egyptian women. The aim of our study was to evaluate the serum levels of human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2), matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9), nitric oxide (NO), and total antioxidant capacity (TAC) in breast cancer patients and to correlate these markers with clinico-pathological parameters. Serum HER2, MMP-9, and carcinoma antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3) were assessed in 80 breast cancer patients and ten healthy subjects as a control group by the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) technique while NO and TAC were assessed by a colorimetric method. Serum HER2 was ≥15 ng/mL in nine patients (11.3%). High HER2 ECD levels were significantly associated with tissue HER2 (P<0.0001), metastasis (P= 0.0024), and negativity of both estrogen (P=0.0075) and progesterone (P=0.0239) receptors. Serum MMP-9 (P=0.0013), NO (P<0.0001), and CA 15-3 (P<0.0001) were significantly increased while serum TAC was significantly (P=0.01) decreased in breast cancer patients as compared to the control group. Serum MMP-9 was increased significantly (P=0.028) in metastatic patients as compared to non-metastatic patients. We found a positive correlation between serum HER2 and CA 15-3 (r=36, p=0.005). In conclusion, serum HER2 reflects the tissue HER2 status of breast cancer, so the determination of serum HER2 is helpful in assessing HER2 status, but in addition, a high level may reflect metastatic disease. Also, serum MMP-9 can be useful for denoting the development of metastasis in breast cancer patients. Follow-up is needed to evaluate the value of serum HER2 and MMP-9 as prognostic markers.

The analysis of outcome of patients with early breast cancer in Egypt identified the adverse prognostic effects of high tumor grade, ER negativity and intermediate and high LNR on DFS. If the utility of the LNR is validated in other studies, it may replace the use of absolute number of axillary lymph nodes.

Analysis of survival outcome of mostly young patients with early breast cancer identified adverse prognostic variables affecting DFS. If the utility of the derived model including LNR is proven in a larger patient population, it may replace the use of absolute number of positive axillary lymph nodes.

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