Background and aim: Machine learning methods are examined by many researchers to identify weeds in crop images captured by drones. However, metaheuristic optimization is rarely used in optimizing the machine learning models used in weed classification. Therefore, this research targets developing a new optimization algorithm that can be used to optimize machine learning models and ensemble models to boost the classification accuracy of weed images. Methodology: This work proposes a new approach for classifying weed and wheat images captured by a sprayer drone. The proposed approach is based on a voting classifier that consists of three base models, namely, neural networks (NNs), support vector machines (SVMs), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). This voting classifier is optimized using a new optimization algorithm composed of a hybrid of sine cosine and grey wolf optimizers. The features used in training the voting classifier are extracted based on AlexNet through transfer learning. The significant features are selected from the extracted features using a new feature selection algorithm. Results: The accuracy, precision, recall, false positive rate, and kappa coefficient were employed to assess the performance of the proposed voting classifier. In addition, a statistical analysis is performed using the one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA), and Wilcoxon signed-rank tests to measure the stability and significance of the proposed approach. On the other hand, a sensitivity analysis is performed to study the behavior of the parameters of the proposed approach in achieving the recorded results. Experimental results confirmed the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed approach when compared to the other competing optimization methods. The achieved detection accuracy using the proposed optimized voting classifier is 97.70%, F-score is 98.60%, specificity is 95.20%, and sensitivity is 98.40%. Conclusion: The proposed approach is confirmed to achieve better classification accuracy and outperforms other competing approaches.
COVID-19 is one of the biggest challenges that countries face at the present time, as infections and deaths change daily and because this pandemic has a dynamic spread. Our paper considers two tasks. The first one is to develop a system for modeling COVID-19 based on time-series models due to their accuracy in forecasting COVID-19 cases. We developed an “Epidemic. TA” system using R programming for modeling and forecasting COVID-19 cases. This system contains linear (ARIMA and Holt’s model) and non-linear (BATS, TBATS, and SIR) time-series models and neural network auto-regressive models (NNAR), which allows us to obtain the most accurate forecasts of infections, deaths, and vaccination cases. The second task is the implementation of our system to forecast the risk of the third wave of infections in the Russian Federation.
The prediction of new cases of infection is crucial for authorities to get ready for early handling of the virus spread. Methodology Analysis and forecasting of epidemic patterns in new SARS-CoV-2 positive patients are presented in this research using a hybrid deep learning algorithm. The hybrid deep learning method is employed for improving the parameters of long short-term memory (LSTM). To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology, a dataset was collected based on the recorded cases in the Russian Federation and Chelyabinsk region between 22 January 2020 and 23 August 2022. In addition, five regression models were included in the conducted experiments to show the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed approach. The achieved results show that the proposed approach could reduce the mean square error (RMSE), relative root mean square error (RRMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R Square), coefficient of correlation (R), and mean bias error (MBE) when compared with the five base models. The achieved results confirm the effectiveness, superiority, and significance of the proposed approach in predicting the infection cases of SARS-CoV-2.
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