We have studied two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that occurred on 25 and 28 September 2012 and interacted near the Earth. By fitting the Graduated Cylindrical Shell model on the SECCHI/COR2 images and applying the Stereoscopic Self‐Similar Expansion method on the SECCHI/HI images, the initial direction of both the CMEs is estimated to be west of the Sun‐Earth line. Further, the three‐dimensional (3‐D) heliospheric kinematics of these CMEs have been estimated using Self‐Similar Expansion (SSE) reconstruction method. We show that the use of SSE method with different values of angular extent of the CMEs leads to significantly different kinematics estimates for the CMEs propagating away from the observer. Using the estimated kinematics and true masses of the CMEs, we have derived the coefficient of restitution for the collision which is found to be close to elastic. The in situ measurements at 1 AU show two distinct structures of interplanetary CMEs, heating of the following CME, and ongoing interaction between the preceding and the following CME. We highlight the signatures of interaction in remote and in situ observations of these CMEs and the role of interaction in producing a major geomagnetic storm.

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are major drivers of extreme space weather conditions, this being a matter of serious concern for our modern technologically-dependent society. Development of numerical approaches that would simulate CME generation and propagation through the interplanetary space is an important step towards our capability to predict CME arrival times at Earth and their geo-effectiveness. In this paper, we utilize a data-constrained Gibson-Low (GL) flux rope model to generate CMEs. We derive the geometry of the initial GL flux rope using the Graduated Cylindrical Shell (GCS) method. This method uses multiple viewpoints from STEREO A & B Cor1/Cor2, and SOHO/LASCO C2/C3 coronagraphs to determine the size and orientation of a CME flux rope as it starts to erupt from the Sun. A flux rope generated in this way is inserted into a quasi-steady global magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) background solar wind flow driven by SDO/HMI line-of-sight magnetogram data, and erupts immediately. Numerical results obtained with the Multi-Scale Fluid-Kinetic Simulation Suite (MS-FLUKSS) code are compared with STEREO and SOHO/LASCO coronagraph observations in particular in terms of the CME speed, acceleration, and magnetic field structure. arXiv:1807.05310v1 [physics.space-ph]

We analyze the observations from Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO)-A&B/COR-1 of an eruptive prominence in the intermediate corona on 7 June 2011 at 08:45 UT, which consists of magnetic Rayleigh-Taylor (MRT) unstable plasma segments. Its upper northward segment shows spatio-temporal evolution of MRT instability in form of finger structures upto the outer corona and low inter-planetary space. Using method of Dolei et al.(2014), It is estimated that the density in each bright finger is greater than corresponding dark region lying below of it in the surrounding intermediate corona. The instability is evolved due to wave perturbations that are parallel to the magnetic field at the density interface. We conjecture that the prominence plasma is supported by tension component of the magnetic field against gravity. Using linear stability theory, magnetic field is estimated as 21-40 mG to suppress growth of MRT in the observed finger structures. In the southward plasma segment, a horn-like structure is observed at 11:55 UT in the intermediate corona that also indicates MRT instability. Falling blobs are also observed in both the plasma segments. In the outer corona upto 6-13 solar radii, the mushroom-like plasma structures have been identified in the upper northward MRT unstable plasma segment using STEREO-A/COR-2. These structures most likely grew due to the breaking and twisting of fingers at large spatial scales in weaker magnetic fields. In the lower inter-planetary space upto 20 solar radii, these structures are fragmented into various small-scale localized plasma spikes most likely due to turbulent mixing.

Flux-rope-based magnetohydrodynamic modeling of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a promising tool for prediction of the CME arrival time and magnetic field at Earth. In this work, we introduce a constant-turn flux rope model and use it to simulate the 2012 July 12 16:48 CME in the inner heliosphere. We constrain the initial parameters of this CME using the graduated cylindrical shell (GCS) model and the reconnected flux in post-eruption arcades. We correctly reproduce all the magnetic field components of the CME at Earth, with an arrival time error of approximately 1 hr. We further estimate the average subjective uncertainties in the GCS fittings by comparing the GCS parameters of 56 CMEs reported in multiple studies and catalogs. We determined that the GCS estimates of the CME latitude, longitude, tilt, and speed have average uncertainties of 5.°74, 11.°23, 24.°71, and 11.4%, respectively. Using these, we have created 77 ensemble members for the 2012 July 12 CME. We found that 55% of our ensemble members correctly reproduce the sign of the magnetic field components at Earth. We also determined that the uncertainties in GCS fitting can widen the CME arrival time prediction window to about 12 hr for the 2012 July 12 CME. On investigating the forecast accuracy introduced by the uncertainties in individual GCS parameters, we conclude that the half-angle and aspect ratio have little impact on the predicted magnetic field of the 2012 July 12 CME, whereas the uncertainties in longitude and tilt can introduce relatively large spread in the magnetic field predicted at Earth.

The magnetic fields of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), which originate close to the Sun in the form of a flux rope, determine their geoeffectiveness. Therefore, robust flux rope-based models of CMEs are required to perform magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations aimed at space weather predictions. We propose a modified spheromak model and demonstrate its applicability to CME simulations. In this model, such properties of a simulated CME as the poloidal and toroidal magnetic fluxes, and the helicity sign can be controlled with a set of input parameters. We propose a robust technique for introducing CMEs with an appropriate speed into a background, MHD solution describing the solar wind in the inner heliosphere. Through a parametric study, we find that the speed of a CME is much more dependent on its poloidal flux than on the toroidal flux. We also show that the CME speed increases with its total energy, giving us control over its initial speed. We further demonstrate the applicability of this model to simulations of CME-CME collisions. Finally, we use this model to simulate the 12 July 2012 CME and compare the plasma properties at 1 AU with observations. The predicted CME properties agree reasonably with observational data.