Objective:To revise the national HIV estimates and quantify the magnitude of the HIV epidemic in Ukraine at the end of 2007.Design:Internationally recommended methods—the Workbook and Spectrum—were employed to generate the estimates. This enables comparison of results with other countries using the same methodology.Methods:Estimation of the size of most at-risk populations nationally was performed using capture-recapture, multiplier and triangulation methods. HIV prevalence among most at-risk populations was estimated by linked HIV sentinel and behavioural surveillance among injecting drug users, and men who have sex with men, and unlinked sentinel surveillance among sex workers. The range of HIV prevalence and extrapolation for populations at lower risk were determined by consensus among national stakeholders. Results were reviewed by national stakeholders and endorsed by the government of Ukraine.Results:At the end of 2007, an estimated 395 000 adults (range 230 000–573 000) aged 15–49 were living with HIV in Ukraine. Adult HIV prevalence was estimated at 1.63%, which represents the highest adult HIV prevalence of any country in Europe.Conclusions:The HIV epidemic in Ukraine continues to grow at a record pace, concentrated among most at-risk populations, the majority of whom are unaware of their HIV status. The results emphasise the need to accelerate the coverage and quality of prevention programmes among most at-risk populations and their sexual partners.

Once recognized as the most severe in Europe, the HIV epidemic in Ukraine is concentrated among people who inject drugs, men who have sex with men, and female sex workers. Integrated biobehavioral surveys, as a part of the second generation surveillance, are used to monitor HIV infection trends in key populations since 2002. The present paper is focused on the analysis of HIV prevalence trends in four nationally representative rounds of integrated biobehavioral surveys from 2008/9, 2011, 2013, and 2015 in people who inject drugs, men who have sex with men, and female sex workers. Between 2008/9 and 2015, the HIV prevalence has decreased significantly in people who inject drugs (24.2 to 22.0%) and female sex workers (13.6 to 6.3%), while the change in men who have sex with men was not significant (8.5 to 7.8%). There was a significant increase in people who inject drugs and men who have sex with men between 2013 and 2015. In subgroups younger than 25 years, prevalence increased more than twofold in men who have sex with men (1.9 to 4.3%), with no changes in people who inject drugs and female sex workers. The observed decline in prevalence, especially in young subgroups, may result from the effect of extensive prevention efforts on drug injection-related transmission. Recent increase in young men who have sex with men may be a sign of a new wave of the epidemic in this group.

No abstract

No abstract