Real-time estimation of the parameters characterising infectious disease transmission is important for optimization quarantine interventions during outbreaks. One of the most significant parameters is the effective reproduction number - number of secondary cases produced by a single infection. The current study presents an approach for estimating the effective reproduction number and its application to COVID-19 outbreak. The method is based on fitting SIR epidemic model to observation data in a sliding time window and allows to show real-time dynamics of reproduction number at any phase of epidemic for countries globally. Online data on COVID-19 daily cases of infections, recoveries, deaths are used.Finally, time-dependent reproduction number is explored in connection with dynamics of peoples mobility. The method allows to assess the disease transmission potential and understand the effect of interventions on epidemics spread. It also can be easily adapted to future outbreaks of different pathogens. The tool is available online as Python code from the Github repository.
The integral indexes are used to measure trends and monitor progress in transportation complex development. The selection of the indicators, included in indexes, is related to the data availability (depends on existence of a specific data sources). The aim of this paper is to provide a development methodology of Integral Index of Traffic Planning (Integral TP Index), which is based on the primary data on vehicle speeds, traffic volumes, number of accidents, etc., for Moscow and allows for basic assessment of transport situation in Russian’s capital. The proposed methodology is a combination of economic and urban approaches to analyze the key indicators of transportation planning efficiency in the metropolis. Four groups of indicators are considered: traffic management efficiency, traffic management quality, transit efficiency and road safety. The integral index considers traffic volumes for various roads and their contributions to the overall transportation system. Division of streets by type (highways, rings, center) makes it possible to take into account specifications the radial-ring streets structure of Moscow. The constructed index is applied to the analysis of Moscow transportation statistics in 2012–2017 provided by the Moscow Traffic Management Center, Yandex and TomTom.
Two-and three-component TeO 2 -based glasses prepared by melting appropriate oxide mixtures, followed by cooling or casting, are characterized by laser ultramicroscopy. The results demonstrate that the glasses contain microinhomogeneities 0.07-0.2 µ m in size at a level of 10 3 to 10 6 cm -3 . Their size and concentration depend on the glass composition and preparation conditions.
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic almost two years ago, there have been more than 700,000 scientific papers published on the subject. An individual researcher cannot possibly get acquainted with such a huge text corpus and, therefore, some help from artificial intelligence (AI) is highly needed. We propose the AI-based tool to help researchers navigate the medical papers collections in a meaningful way and extract some knowledge from scientific COVID-19 papers. The main idea of our approach is to get as much semi-structured information from text corpus as possible, using named entity recognition (NER) with a model called PubMedBERT and Text Analytics for Health service, then store the data into NoSQL database for further fast processing and insights generation. Additionally, the contexts in which the entities were used (neutral or negative) are determined. Application of NLP and text-based emotion detection (TBED) methods to COVID-19 text corpus allows us to gain insights on important issues of diagnosis and treatment (such as changes in medical treatment over time, joint treatment strategies using several medications, and the connection between signs and symptoms of coronavirus, etc.).
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