We study the identification and estimation of covariate‐conditioned average marginal effects of endogenous regressors in nonseparable structural systems when the regressors are mismeasured. We control for the endogeneity by making use of covariates as control variables; this ensures conditional independence between the endogenous causes of interest and other unobservable drivers of the dependent variable. Moreover, we recover distributions of the underlying true causes from their error‐laden measurements to deliver consistent estimators. We obtain uniform convergence rates and asymptotic normality for estimators of covariate‐conditioned average marginal effects, faster convergence rates for estimators of their weighted averages over instruments, and root‐n consistency and asymptotic normality for estimators of their weighted averages over control variables and regressors. We investigate their finite‐sample behavior using Monte Carlo simulation and apply new methods to study the impact of family income on child achievement measured by math and reading scores, using a matched mother–child subsample of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. Our findings suggest that these effects are considerably larger than previously recognized, and depend on parental abilities and family income. This underscores the importance of measurement errors, endogeneity of family income, nonlinearity of income effects, and interactions between causes of child achievement.
We revisit the production function estimators of Olley and Pakes (1996) and Levinsohn and Petrin (2003). They use control functions to address the simultaneous determination of inputs and productivity. Both assume that input demand is a monotonic function of productivity holding capital constant and then invert this function to condition on productivity during estimation. If the observed capital variable is measured with error, input demand will not generally be monotonic in the productivity shock holding observed capital constant. We develop consistent estimators of production function parameters in the face of this measurement error. Our identification and estimation results combine the nonlinear measurement error literature with Wooldridge (2009)'s joint estimation method to construct a proxy for productivity that addresses simultaneity. Our approach directly extends to the case where other inputs like intermediates or labor are observed with error.
Summary
Regression models relating investment demand with firms’ Tobin's q and cash flow are fraught with measurement errors which, in turn, cause endogeneity bias. We propose an alternative solution to this problem based on modelling the interaction between the endogenous Tobin's q and the error term in the investment equation as a function of lagged values of Tobin's q. We then study the identification conditions and asymptotic properties of the resulting estimator. Our analysis of a panel of US firms reveals a larger effect of Tobin's q on firms’ investment demand than that obtained by using available estimators in the literature. Moreover, the estimates highlight the importance of cash flow. We find mixed evidence on the relationship between investment demand and firms’ cash flow with respect to different measures of financial constraints. Nevertheless, this evidence is more supportive of the view that firms’ cash flows have a weaker correlation to investment demand when financial conditions tighten.
The association between physical appearance and income has been of central interest in social science. However, most previous studies often measured physical appearance using classical proxies from subjective opinions based on surveys. In this study, we use novel data, called CAESAR, which contains three-dimensional (3D) whole-body scans to mitigate possible reporting and measurement errors. We demonstrate the existence of significant nonclassical reporting errors in the reported heights and weights by comparing them with measured counterparts, and show that these discrete measurements are too sparse to provide a complete description of the body shape. Instead, we use a graphical autoencoder to obtain intrinsic features, consisting of human body shapes directly from 3D scans and estimate the relationship between body shapes and family income. We also take into account a possible issue of endogenous body shapes using proxy variables and control functions. The estimation results reveal a statistically significant relationship between physical appearance and family income and that these associations differ across genders. This supports the hypothesis on the physical attractiveness premium in labor market outcomes and its heterogeneity across genders.
This paper studies estimation and inference for linear quantile regression models with generated regressors. We suggest a practical two-step estimation procedure, where the generated regressors are computed in the first step. The asymptotic properties of the two-step estimator, namely, consistency and asymptotic normality are established. We show that the asymptotic variance-covariance matrix needs to be adjusted to account for the first-step estimation error. We propose a general estimator for the asymptotic variance-covariance, establish its consistency, and develop testing procedures for linear hypotheses in these models. Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the estimation and inference procedures are provided. Finally, we apply the proposed methods to study Engel curves for various commodities using data from the UK Family Expenditure Survey. We document strong heterogeneity in the estimated Engel curves along the conditional distribution of the budget share of each commodity. The empirical application also emphasizes that correctly estimating confidence intervals for the estimated Engel curves by the proposed estimator is of importance for inference.
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