The risk of mortality associated with acute renal failure (ARF) after open-heart surgery continues to be distressingly high. Accurate prediction of ARF provides an opportunity to develop strategies for early diagnosis and treatment. The aim of this study was to develop a clinical score to predict postoperative ARF by incorporating the effect of all of its major risk factors. A total of 33,217 patients underwent open-heart surgery at the Cleveland Clinic Foundation (1993 to 2002). The primary outcome was ARF that required dialysis. The scoring model was developed in a randomly selected test set (n = 15,838) and was validated on the remaining patients. Its predictive accuracy was compared by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The score ranges between 0 and 17 points. The ARF frequency at each score level in the validation set fell within the 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the corresponding frequency in the test set. Four risk categories of increasing severity (scores 0 to 2, 3 to 5, 6 to 8, and 9 to 13) were formed arbitrarily. The frequency of ARF across these categories in the test set ranged between 0.5 and 22.1%. The score was also valid in predicting ARF across all risk categories. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the score in the test set was 0.81 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.83) and was similar to that in the validation set (0.82; 95% CI 0.80 to 0.85; P = 0.39). In conclusion, a score is valid and accurate in predicting ARF after open-heart surgery; along with increasing its clinical utility, the score can help in planning future clinical trials of ARF.

Our results demonstrated that ileostomy closure after restorative proctocolectomy can be achieved with a low morbidity and a short hospitalization stay. In addition, we found that complication rates and length of hospitalization were similar between handsewn and stapled closures.

Renal dysfunction not requiring dialysis is an independent risk factor of mortality after cardiac surgery. A better preoperative GFR attenuates the effect of postoperative renal dysfunction on mortality; this interaction needs to be considered while defining a clinically relevant threshold of ARF.

Due to the shortage of organs, living donor acceptance criteria are becoming less stringent. An accurate determination of the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is critical in the evaluation of living kidney donors and a value exceeding 80ml/min per 1.73m2 is usually considered suitable. To improve strategies for kidney donor screening, an understanding of factors that affect GFR is needed. Here we studied the relationships between donor GFR measured by 125I-iothalamate clearances (mGFR) and age, gender, race, and decade of care in living kidney donors evaluated at the Cleveland Clinic from 1972 to 2005. We report the normal reference ranges for 1057 prospective donors (56% female, 11% African American). Females had slightly higher mGFR than males after adjustment for body surface area, but there were no differences due to race. The lower limit of normal for donors (5th percentile) was less than 80 ml/min per 1.73m2 for females over age 45 and for males over age 40. We found a significant doubling in the rate of GFR decline in donors over age 45 as compared to younger donors. The age of the donors and body mass index increased over time, but their mGFR, adjusted for body surface area, significantly declined by 1.49±0.61 ml/min per 1.73m2 per decade of testing. Our study shows that age and gender are important factors determining normal GFR in living kidney donors.

SummaryBackground and objectives The incidence and prevalence of metabolic acidosis increase with declining kidney function. We studied the associations of both low and high serum bicarbonate levels with all-cause mortality among stage 3 and 4 chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients.Design, setting, participants, & measurements We examined factors associated with low (Ͻ23 mmol/L) and high (Ͼ32 mmol/L) serum bicarbonate levels using logistic regression models and associations between bicarbonate and all-cause mortality using Cox-proportional hazard models, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and time-dependent analysis.Results Out of 41,749 patients, 13.9% (n ϭ 5796) had low and 1.6% (n ϭ 652) had high serum bicarbonate levels. After adjusting for relevant covariates, there was a significant association between low serum bicarbonate and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.23, 95% CI 1.16, 1.31). This association was not statistically significant among patients with stage 4 CKD and diabetes. The time-dependent analysis demonstrated a significant mortality risk associated with a decline from normal to low bicarbonate level (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.49, 1.69). High serum bicarbonate levels were associated with death irrespective of the level of kidney function (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.52, 2.00). When serum bicarbonate was examined as a continuous variable, a J-shaped relationship was noted between serum bicarbonate and mortality.Conclusions Low serum bicarbonate levels are associated with increased mortality among stage 3 CKD patients and patients without diabetes. High serum bicarbonate levels are associated with mortality in both stage 3 and stage 4 CKD patients.