Infectious disease occurs when a person is infected by a pathogen from another person or an animal. It is a problem that causes harm at both individual and macro scales. The Korea Center for Disease Control (KCDC) operates a surveillance system to minimize infectious disease contagions. However, in this system, it is difficult to immediately act against infectious disease because of missing and delayed reports. Moreover, infectious disease trends are not known, which means prediction is not easy. This study predicts infectious diseases by optimizing the parameters of deep learning algorithms while considering big data including social media data. The performance of the deep neural network (DNN) and long-short term memory (LSTM) learning models were compared with the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) when predicting three infectious diseases one week into the future. The results show that the DNN and LSTM models perform better than ARIMA. When predicting chickenpox, the top-10 DNN and LSTM models improved average performance by 24% and 19%, respectively. The DNN model performed stably and the LSTM model was more accurate when infectious disease was spreading. We believe that this study’s models can help eliminate reporting delays in existing surveillance systems and, therefore, minimize costs to society.
As a smartphone is becoming very popular and its performance is being improved fast, a smartphone shows its potential as a low-cost physiological measurement solution which is accurate and can be used beyond the clinical environment. Because cardiac pulse leads the subtle color change of a skin, a pulsatile signal which can be described as photoplethysmographic (PPG) signal can be measured through recording facial video using a digital camera. In this paper, we explore the potential that the reliable heart rate can be measured remotely by the facial video recorded using smartphone camera. First, using the front facing-camera of a smartphone, facial video was recorded. We detected facial region on the image of each frame using face detection, and yielded the raw trace signal from the green channel of the image. To extract more accurate cardiac pulse signal, we applied independent component analysis (ICA) to the raw trace signal. The heart rate was extracted using frequency analysis of the raw trace signal and the analyzed signal from ICA. The accuracy of the estimated heart rate was evaluated by comparing with the heart rate from reference electrocardiogram (ECG) signal. Finally, we developed FaceBEAT, an iPhone application for remote heart rate measurement, based on this study.
As wide spreading of camera-equipped devices to the daily living environment, there are enormous opportunities to utilize the camera-based remote photoplethysmography (PPG) for daily physiological monitoring. In the camera-based remote PPG (rPPG) monitoring, the region of interest (ROI) is related to the signal quality and the computational load for the signal extraction processing. Designating the best ROI on the body while minimizing its size is essential for computationally efficient rPPG extraction. In this study, we densely analyzed the face region to find the computationally efficient ROI for facial rPPG extraction. We divided the face into seven regions and evaluated the quality of the signal of each region using the area ratio of high-SNR and high-correlation, and mean and standard deviation (SD) of SNR and correlation coefficient. The results show that a forehead and both cheeks especially have a potential to be a good candidates for computationally efficient ROI. On the other hand, the signal quality from a mouth and a chin was relatively low. A nasion and a nose have a limitation to be efficient ROI.
In this paper, we propose a real-time prediction model that can respond to particulate matters (PM) in the air, which are an indication of poor air quality. The model applies interpolation to air quality and weather data and then uses a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to predict PM concentrations. The interpolation transforms the irregular spatial data into an equally spaced grid, which the model requires. This combination creates the interpolated CNN (ICNN) model that we use to predict PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations. The PM10 and PM2.5 evaluation results show an effective prediction performance with an R-squared higher than 0.97 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of approximately 16% of the standard deviation. Furthermore, both PM10 and PM2.5 prediction models forecast high concentrations with high reliability, with a probability of detection higher than 0.90 and a critical success index exceeding 0.85. The proposed ICNN prediction model achieves a high prediction performance using spatio-temporal information and presents a new direction in the prediction field.
Freezing of gait (FOG) is a common motor impairment to suffer an inability to walk, experienced by Parkinson's disease (PD) patients. FOG interferes with daily activities and increases fall risk, which can cause severe health problems. We propose a novel smartphone-based system to detect FOG symptoms in an unconstrained way. The feasibility of single device to sense gait characteristic was tested on the various body positions such as ankle, trouser pocket, waist and chest pocket. Using measured data from accelerometer and gyroscope in the smartphone, machine learning algorithm was applied to classify freezing episodes from normal walking. The performance of AdaBoost.M1 classifier showed the best sensitivity of 86% at the waist, 84% and 81% in the trouser pocket and at the ankle respectively, which is comparable to the results of previous studies.
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