Outdoor recreation is one of the most popular leisure time activities in the United States, yet the potential impacts of climate change on this activity are largely unknown or poorly understood. We estimate the effect of temperature and precipitation on the demand for a significant segment of the outdoor recreation economycoastal recreational fishing in the Atlantic and Gulf Coast regionsfrom 2004-2009. Combining our econometric estimates from a structural model of angler behavior with downscaled climate projections, we find declines in participation (up to 15 percent) and welfare (up to $312 million annually) for recreational anglers primarily due to more days with extreme temperatures under predicted climate futures. We find evidence of regional and temporal heterogeneity, with projected losses in warmer regions and months and gains predicted in cooler regions and months. We then explore inter-and intra-temporal substitution as potential adaptation strategies to extreme heat. While our results show no significant evidence of angler substituting their recreation decisions across times of the year, we do find that anglers might shift their activities to nighttime as temperatures increase rather than fish less frequently. JEL Codes: Q22, Q26, Q51, Q54, Q57
Recent warnings from scientists suggest there is limited time to enact policies to avert wide-ranging ecological and social damage from climate change. In the United States, discussions about comprehensive national policies to avert climate change have begun, with "Green New Deal" proposals and climate plans put forth by members of Congress and presidential candidates. Oceans are largely absent or separate from these nascent policy proposals. Here, we highlight a policy framework to develop terrestrial and ocean-integrated policies that can complement and enhance terrestrialfocused initiatives focused on four specific sectors: 1) energy; 2) transportation; 3) food security; and 4) habitat restoration. Given political friction and constrained budgets, an integrated policy framework offers greater potential to achieve a portfolio of This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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