AF is associated with several adverse cardiovascular outcomes and heart failure is the most frequently detected event. Potentially, risk factor modification strategies for the primary prevention of heart failure will reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with AF.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia encountered in clinical practice, and it places a substantial burden on the health care system. Despite improvements in our understanding of AF pathophysiology, we have yet to develop targeted preventive therapies. Recently, numerous biological markers have been identified to aid in the prediction of future AF events. Subclinical markers of atrial stress, inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, kidney dysfunction, and atherosclerosis have been linked to AF. The connection between these markers and AF is the identification of subclinical states in which AF propagation is likely to occur, as these conditions are associated with abnormal atrial remodeling and fibrosis. Additionally, several risk scores have been developed to aid in the identification of at-risk patients. The practicing clinician should be aware of these subclinical markers, as several of these markers improve the predictive abilities of current AF risk scores. Knowledge of these subclinical markers also provides clinicians with a better understanding of AF risk factors, and the opportunity to reduce the occurrence of AF by incorporating well-known cardiovascular disease risk factor modification strategies. In this review, we highlight several novel biological markers that have improved our understanding of AF pathophysiology and appraise the utility of these markers to improve our ability to predict future AF events.

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Background Frontal QRS-T angle reflects changes in regional action potential duration and the direction of repolarization. Although it has been suggested that abnormal ventricular repolarization predisposes to atrial arrhythmias, it is unknown whether abnormal frontal QRS-T angle is associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods We examined the association between frontal QRS-T angle and AF in 4,282 participants (95% white; 41% male) from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). QRS-T angle was computed from baseline electrocardiogram data. Abnormal QRS-T angle was defined as values greater than the sex-specific 95th percentile (men >131°; women: >104°). AF cases were identified from study electrocardiograms and from hospitalization discharge data through December 31, 2010. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between abnormal QRS-T angle and AF. Results Over a median follow-up of 12.1 years, a total of 1,276 (30%) participants developed AF. In a Cox regression model, adjusted for socio-demographics and known AF risk factors, abnormal QRS-T angle was associated with a 55% increased risk of AF (HR=1.55, 95%CI=1.23, 1.97). When QRS-T angle was examined as a continuous variable, each 10° increase was associated with a 3% increased risk of AF (HR=1.03, 95%CI=1.01, 1.05). This finding was consistent in subgroups stratified by age, sex, and race. Conclusion Our findings suggest that an abnormal frontal QRS-T angle on the electrocardiogram provides important prognostic information regarding AF risk in the elderly, and further implicate ventricular repolarization abnormalities in the pathogenesis of AF.

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Background Prior studies have reported disparities by race in the management of acute myocardial infarction (MI), with many studies having limited covariates or now dated. We examined racial and ethnic differences in the management of MI, specifically non–ST‐segment‐elevation MI (NSTEMI), in a large, socially diverse cohort of insured patients. We hypothesized that the racial and ethnic disparities in the receipt of coronary angiography or percutaneous coronary intervention would persist in contemporary data. Methods and Results We identified individuals presenting with incident, type I NSTEMI from 2017 to 2019 captured by a health claims database. Race and ethnicity were categorized by the database as Asian, Black, Hispanic, or White. Covariates included demographics (age, sex, race, and ethnicity); Elixhauser variables, including cardiovascular risk factors and other comorbid conditions; and social factors of estimated annual household income and educational attainment. We examined rates of coronary angiography and percutaneous coronary intervention by race and ethnicity and income categories and in multivariable‐adjusted models. We identified 87 094 individuals (age 73.8±11.6 years; 55.6% male; 2.6% Asian, 13.4% Black, 11.2% Hispanic, 72.7% White) with incident NSTEMI events from 2017 to 2019. Individuals of Black race were less likely to undergo coronary angiography (odds ratio [OR], 0.93; [95% CI, 0.89–0.98]) and percutaneous coronary intervention (OR, 0.86; [95% CI, 0.81–0.90]) than those of White race. Hispanic individuals were less likely (OR, 0.88; [95% CI, 0.84–0.93]) to undergo coronary angiography and percutaneous coronary intervention (OR, 0.85; [95% CI, 0.81–0.89]) than those of White race. Higher annual household income attenuated differences in the receipt of coronary angiography across all racial and ethnic groups. Conclusions We identified significant racial and ethnic differences in the management of individuals presenting with NSTEMI that were marginally attenuated by higher household income. Our findings suggest continued evidence of health inequities in contemporary NSTEMI treatment.

Background It is unknown if normal findings on noninvasive cardiac assessment are able to identify individuals who are low risk for developing heart failure (HF). Methods We examined if normal findings on the routine electrocardiogram (ECG) and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were able to identify individuals who are low risk for developing HF in 4,986 (mean age=62 ± 10 years; 52% women; 39% White; 13% Chinese-American; 26% Black; 22% Hispanic) participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis who were free of clinically apparent HF at baseline. A normal ECG was defined as the absence of major abnormalities by Minnesota Code Classification, and a normal MRI was defined as absence of structural abnormalities and systolic dysfunction. Results There were 3,988 (80%) participants with normal findings at baseline on both ECG and MRI, 894 (18%) who had either a normal ECG or normal MRI, and 104 (2%) who had abnormal findings on ECG and MRI. Over a median follow-up of 12.2 years, 177 (3.6%) HF events occurred. Normal ECG (HR=0.41, 95%CI=0.29, 0.56) and MRI (HR=0.32, 95%CI=0.23, 0.45) were each associated with lower risk of HF compared with abnormal, and their combination was associated with a lower HF risk (HR=0.13, 95%CI=0.08, 0.21) than either in isolation. Conclusion Normal findings on noninvasive cardiac assessment identify individuals in whom the risk of HF is low. Further studies are needed to explore the utility of this low-risk profile in HF prevention strategies.

BACKGROUND Patients with a prior coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) may have a need for repeat revascularization, which is typically attempted first via percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of either a bypass graft or native vessel. Long-term outcomes of native vessel compared to graft PCI after CABG have not yet been explored in a large institution study. METHODS Patients with history of prior CABG who underwent PCI at our institution during 2010-2018 were included. Baseline characteristics and long-term outcomes of up to 5 years were compared between native vessel and bypass graft PCI groups. Cox regression was used to adjust for significant covariates in estimation of risk and calculation of hazard ratios. RESULTS During the study, 4,251 patients with a prior CABG underwent PCI. Native vessel PCI represented 67.1% (n=2,851) of the cohort. After adjusting for significant covariates, bypass graft PCI compared to native vessel PCI had a higher risk of overall mortality (HR 1.15; 95% CI, 1.04-1.29; p<0.05), all-cause readmission (HR 1.16; 95% CI, 1.1-1.3; p<0.05), readmission for PCI (HR 1.25; 95% CI, 1.13-1.38; p<0.05), readmission for heart failure (HR 1.16; 95% CI, 1.06-1.26; p<0.05), and composite of myocardial infarction and revascularization (HR 1.23; 95% CI, 1.12-1.35; p<0.05). CONCLUSIONS Among patients with prior CABG, bypass graft PCI compared to native vessel PCI was associated with higher risk of adverse long-term outcomes.