As proteins cannot cross the placenta levels of the microproteins alpha 1-microglobulin (alpha 1MG) and beta 2-microglobulin (beta 2 MG) can be used to assess fetal glomerular renal function. alpha 1MG, beta 2MG and creatinine were routinely determined in cord and maternal blood of 133 newborns [gestational age (GA) 25-42 weeks]. Twenty-nine patients with suspected impaired maternal or fetal renal function were studied separately and two fetuses were studied in utero. The mean fetal beta 2MG concentration fell from 3.87 +/- 0.56 mg/l in the 25-31 weeks GA group to 2.60 +/- 0.50 mg/l in the mature newborn group. alpha 1MG concentration fell from 3.10 +/- 0.51 to 2.25 +/- 0.49 mg/dl. In contrast, the mean maternal beta 1MG concentration rose from 1.73 +/- 0.69 mg/l in the 25-31 weeks GA group to a mean of 1.83 +/- 0.48 mg/l in the mature newborn group; alpha 1MG rose from 3.96 +/- 0.58 to 4.33 +/- 1.6 mg/dl. Maternal and fetal creatinine levels were identical. Fetal microprotein levels fall during intra-uterine development as glomerular filtration rate (GFR) rises. There is no correlation between cord blood and maternal alpha 1MG or beta 2MG concentrations. In 13 children with urological anomalies only 1 had elevated microprotein levels and he later developed renal insufficiency. Determination of microprotein levels in fetal serum can be used to detect severe renal function disturbances and to estimate GFR independently of maternal renal function.
We apply a spatial price equilibrium model of the world sugar market to simulate an abolishment of the EU quota system in 2015/16. To overcome the normative nature of the approach, we calibrate the model by attaching a non-linear cost term to each trade flow. This is in some regards similar to positive mathematical programming. We suggest an economic interpretation and an econometric specification of the cost term. Production in the EU increases to almost 16 million tons. Twelve member states increase production, seven reduce it. Preferential imports are significantly reduced. Simulated effects are found to be more pronounced the higher the world market price.
Sugar is an important export for a number of developing countries, especially in the African, Caribbean and Pacific regions. In many of these countries, preferential access to the EU market has been a key factor to develop their sugar sectors. The recent and proposed changes to the international sugar trade regimes, particularly in the EU, are threatening this preferential access. We study the possible implications of such changes on ACP countries’ sugar production and exports by using a spatial price equilibrium model specifically developed for the sugar market. The results suggest that the effects of these changes are likely to vary according to the prevailing level of world sugar market price and according to whether ACP countries are current exporters to the EU.
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